Sacramento State Hornets vs Air Force Falcons NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 11/27/24

Looking to win big? The Hornets and Falcons face off at 4:00 ET on MWN. The Falcons are hosting the game at Clune Arena in Colorado Springs, CO. The over/under for this non-conference contest is set at 129.5 points, with Air Force being favored by -5.5 over Sacramento State.

SACRAMENTO STATE HORNETS VS AIR FORCE FALCONS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Sacramento State Hornets +5.5

This game will be played at Clune Arena at 4:00 ET on Wednesday, November 27th.

WHY BET THE SACRAMENTO STATE HORNETS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-72 in favor of the Falcons.
  • Even though we have Air Force winning straight-up, we like Sacramento State at +5.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 129.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 147 points.

Do the Hornets Stand a Chance on the Road?

Sacramento State dropped to 1-3 on the season after an 83-77 loss to California on Sunday. The Hornets, who were +14.5 point underdogs, kept the game closer than expected.

After trailing 40-33 at halftime, Sacramento State scored 44 points in the 2nd half but couldn’t complete the comeback. The game’s total points of 160 went over the pre-game line of 137.5.

Sacramento State put up 77 points in their last game, shooting 43.1% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 51.7%. They connected on 10 of 27 threes, hitting 37% from deep, and went 17 of 26 from the free-throw line, shooting 65.4%.

Jacob Holt led the way with 25 points and 8 rebounds, hitting 4 threes at a 40% clip. Julian Vaughns was efficient, shooting 60% overall and 66.7% from three, finishing with 18 points. Andrej Stojakovic added 20 points, while Rytis Petraitis contributed 5 assists.

Despite Sacramento State’s defensive efforts, they gave up 83 points, with the opposing team shooting 47% from the field. They were particularly vulnerable inside, allowing 66% shooting on two-point attempts (18/27).

From beyond the arc, Sacramento State held the other team to 26% shooting (7/26). However, they sent them to the free-throw line 39 times, where they converted 26 free throws. The Hornets also allowed 13 offensive rebounds.

Can Air Force Lock in a Home Win?

Air Force cruised to an 82-48 win over Mercyhurst on Sunday, November 24th, at home. The Falcons, who were -9 favorites, covered the spread with ease. The total points for the game reached 130, surpassing the over/under line of 127.

Air Force led 31-24 at halftime before dominating the 2nd half, scoring 51 points while holding Mercyhurst to just 24 points after the break.

Air Force’s offense was firing on all cylinders in their last game, putting up 82 points while shooting 64.6% from the field. Their effective field goal percentage was an impressive 79.2%, thanks in large part to their 71.4% shooting from beyond the arc, hitting 15 of 21 attempts.

Ethan Taylor was a standout, knocking down 7 of 10 threes and finishing with 21 points and 10 rebounds. The Falcons also dished out 26 assists as a team, with Luke Kearney contributing 12 points in just 13 minutes, hitting 4 of 5 from deep.

Air Force’s defense struggled in their previous game, allowing 48 points on 64% shooting from the field. The opposing team hit 31 of their 48 shots.

From beyond the arc, the other team was particularly effective, making 15 of 21 threes for 71%. They also went 5/9 from the free-throw line.