Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets Betting Pick & Prediction 3/5/25

At 9:00 ET, the Sacramento Kings will travel to Denver to take on the Nuggets. Sacramento comes into this game with a record of 32-28 and is currently on a four-game win streak. The Kings are currently 8th in the Western Conference and 3rd in the Pacific Division. On the other side, the Nuggets are 39-22 and are 3rd in the Western Conference and 2nd in the Northwest Division. Denver is currently favored by six points.

This game will be played at Ball Arena and can be seen on NBCS.

SACRAMENTO KINGS VS DENVER NUGGETS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Sacramento Kings +6

This game will be played at Ball Arena at 9:00 ET on Wednesday, March 5th.

WHY BET THE SACRAMENTO KINGS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 126-121 in favor of the Kings.
  • Our projections have Zach LaVine finishing with 24 points, 5 rebounds and 4 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Kings finishing with a field goal percentage of 47.0% and knocking down 14 threes.

Taking a Look at the Kings Chances on the Road

The Kings improved to 32-28 after a dominant 122-98 win over the Mavericks on Monday. Sacramento, favored by 2 points, covered the spread with a +24 margin. The game’s total of 220 points fell short of the 231.5 O/U line.

A key 16-0 run by the Kings turned the game around, as they went from trailing 65-54 to leading 70-65. Sacramento then outscored Dallas 34-16 in the 3rd quarter, entering the 4th with a 94-66 lead before the Mavericks took the final quarter 32-28.

The Kings shot 52.2% from the field and hit 16 threes at a 47.1% clip in their win over the Mavericks. Zach LaVine led the way with 22 points, knocking down 4 threes at 80% efficiency.

DeMar DeRozan added 20 points, while Keegan Murray contributed 18 points and 4 made threes. LaVine scored 12 points in the 2nd quarter, and Malik Monk added 7 of his 13 points in the 3rd.

The Kings put together a strong defensive performance, holding the Mavericks to 98 points on Monday. Sacramento gave up 24 points in the 1st quarter and 26 in the 2nd, but they were especially stingy in the 3rd, allowing just 16 points. Even with a 32-point 4th quarter, the Kings’ defense was solid throughout the game.

From beyond the arc, the Kings limited Dallas to just 7 made threes on 26% shooting. Sacramento also controlled the boards, giving up only 7 offensive rebounds. They finished with 4 steals and 4 blocks in the game.

Can Denver Secure a Home Victory?

The Nuggets fell to 39-22 on the season after a 110-103 road loss to the Celtics on Sunday. Denver entered the game as +5.5 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game were 213, well below the 236.5 O/U line.

Denver started slowly, trailing 32-20 after the 1st quarter. They narrowed the gap to 83-77 by the end of the 3rd but couldn’t complete the comeback. A key moment was Boston’s 10-0 run, which extended their lead from 82-70 to 92-70.

In their 110-103 loss to the Celtics, the Nuggets shot 47.7% from the field and 34.3% from three-point range, hitting 12 threes. Jamal Murray led Denver with 26 points, 13 of which came in the 4th quarter, and added 7 assists and 6 rebounds.

Christian Braun contributed 24 points, scoring 11 in the 2nd quarter, while Nikola Jokić finished with 20 points, 14 rebounds, and 9 assists, shooting 60% from the field and making 2 of 3 three-pointers.

Defensively, the Nuggets gave up 110 points to the Celtics, who shot 47% from the field. Denver allowed 32 points in the 1st quarter and 29 in the 2nd, but tightened up in the 3rd, holding Boston to 22 points. The Celtics scored 27 in the 4th to close out the game.

From beyond the arc, the Nuggets allowed 14 threes on 41% shooting. Boston also went to the line 27 times, making 22 free throws. Denver finished with 30 defensive rebounds, gave up 10 offensive boards, and recorded 11 steals.