Portland Trail Blazers vs Dallas Mavericks Betting Pick & Prediction 1/5/24
The Trail Blazers and Mavericks are set to face off at 8:30 ET on BSSW. The Mavericks will host the game at American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX. The over/under for this Western conference contest is set at 238.5 points, with the Mavericks being the favored team playing at home against the Trail Blazers.
PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS VS DALLAS MAVERICKS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Dallas Mavericks -10.5
This game will be played at American Airlines Center at 8:30 ET on Friday, January 5th.
WHY BET THE DALLAS MAVERICKS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 113-100 in favor of the Mavericks.
- Our projections have Luka Doncic finishing with Luka Doncic points, 8 rebounds and 8 assists.
- From the field, we have the Mavericks finishing with a field goal percentage of 47.3% and knocking down 17 threes.
Can Portland Pull Off A Win at American Airlines Center?
As the Trail Blazers travel to take on the Mavericks, they are the 10.5-point underdogs and just 14th in the Western Conference at 9-24. Portland will also look to snap a two-game losing streak today.
So far, the Blazers have really struggled on the road this season, going just 4-13. They have also been the underdog in 29 of their 33 games and have an average scoring margin of -8.2 points per game as the underdog this season.
Portland’s ATS record as the underdog for the season is 14-15, but they have failed to cover the spread in each of their last two road games. The Blazers’ average road scoring margin of -8.2 points per game is 18th in the West.
Out of the Blazers’ 33 games, 30 of them have had lower over/under lines than today’s line of 238.5. Portland’s over/under record for the season is 14-18-1, and they have two straight games finish below the projected totals.
In 78.8% of their games, the Trail Blazers offense has scored below what their opponents allow on average. Overall, Portland ranks 29th in scoring with 108.4 points per game. When it comes to field goal percentage, the Trail Blazers are 29th in the NBA at 43%. In terms of three-pointers, they are 19th in percentage and 19th in made three-pointers.
At this time, the Trail Blazers’ defense is positioned 18th in the NBA, permitting 115.3 points per game. When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Trail Blazers squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 58.8% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 33.1% from downtown.
Can Dallas Deliver Being Favored at Home?
With an overall record of 20-15, the Mavericks will look to pick up a win over the Trail Blazers as 10.5-point favorites. Going into today’s game, Dallas is 7th in the West and 2nd in the Southwest.
Against the spread, the Mavericks have gone 7-9 at home and have an average scoring margin of +4.6 points per contest at home. When favored, Dallas has gone 16-6 this season.
The over/under record in Dallas’ games is 21-14, and the under has come in each of their last two games. For the season, 24 of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s line of 238.5. The average over/under line in their games has been 234.6.
So far, the Mavericks and their fans have seen the Blazers already today, as Dallas won the game by a score of 126-97. The Mavs were also favored by 11 points coming into the game.
In terms of scoring, the Mavericks offense ranks 7th in the league at 118.5 points per game. In 68.6% of their games, the Mavericks have outscored their opponent’s season-long defensive average. Luka Doncic led the Mavericks in scoring with 41 points in their most recent game against the Trail Blazers, while Kyrie Irving added 29 points.
Looking at the Mavericks defense, they will be looking for a better performance considering they are currently conceding 117.4 points per game (22nd). Most recently, the Mavericks’ defense put together a solid performance, giving up just 97 points to the Trail Blazers.