Portland Pilots vs Loyola Marymount Lions Betting Pick & Prediction 1/25/24

Looking to win big? The Pilots and Lions face off at 10:00 ET on ESPN+. The Lions are hosting the game at Gersten Pavilion in Los Angeles, CA. The odds for this West Coast conference game currently have Loyola Marymount as the -9.5 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 150 points.
PORTLAND PILOTS VS LOYOLA MARYMOUNT LIONS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Portland Pilots +9.5
This game will be played at Gersten Pavilion at 10:00 ET on Thursday, January 25th.
WHY BET THE PORTLAND PILOTS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-70 in favor of the Lions.
- Even though we have Loyola Marymount winning straight-up, we like Portland at +9.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 150 points, and we like the under with a projected 146 points.
Will Portland Shock Everyone at Gersten Pavilion?
Portland comes into this game with a record of 7-13, including a 1-5 mark in West Coast Conference play. They have lost five straight games, including their most recent contest against San Diego by a score of 85-81.
On the road this season, the Pilots are just 1-9, and their average scoring margin is -17.9 points per game. They have lost six straight games away from home.
Portland’s ATS record this season is 7-12, but they have struggled vs. the spread as the underdog. In their last 10 games as the underdog, the Pilots are just 2-8 vs. the spread and they are 0-3 vs. the spread on the road in their last 3 games.
Portland’s over/under record this season is 9-10, and today’s line of 150 is right in line with the average over/under line in their games this season (150.1). So far, 10 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the average scoring total is 172 points, and their over/under record over their last 10 games is 6-4.
Portland is coming off a good offensive performance, putting up 81 points vs. San Diego. This figure is more than their season average of 73.9 points per game. The top scorer for the Pilots was Tyler Robertson with 17 points, while Yuto Yamanouchi-Williams also chipped in with 15 points.
At present, the Pilots’ defense is nationally ranked 300th, allowing 80.4 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Portland’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 44.1% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 36.2% this season.
Can Loyola Marymount Deliver Being Favored at Home?
At home this season, Loyola Marymount has gone 7-7, and over their last 10 games at home, they have gone 5-5. For the season, they have been favored 13 times, going 7-6 in those games.
Coming off a win over Pepperdine, the Lions are 9-10 overall and 2-3 in West Coast Conference games. So far, they have gone 2-3 on the road compared to 7-7 at home.
As the favorite this season, Loyola Marymount has a record of 5-8 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Lions have gone 4-6 ATS. At home this year, LMU has an ATS mark of 6-8, including a 2-3 record in their last 5 games at Gersten Pavilion.
Today’s over/under line of 150 for the Loyola Marymount vs Portland game is higher than the average over/under line of 145.4 in their games this season. Currently, their over/under record is 10-9. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 145 points.
Coming off their recent game, the Loyola Marymount offense tallied 68 points in a matchup against Pepperdine. Their field goal percentage for the game was 36%, and they made 8 threes. Offensively, the Lions have a season long field goal percentage of 43%, which is 292nd in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 177th in percentage and 127th in three-pointers made.
Currently, the Lions’ defense holds the 108th rank in the nation, allowing 69.7 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 5.1 threes per game vs. Portland. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 35.7%.