Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Diego Padres Betting Pick & Prediction 8/13/24

Michael King and the Padres (67-53) will host the Pirates (56-62) today at 9:40 PM ET from PETCO Park in San Diego, CA. MLBN will be televising this NL matchup, and the Padres are the heavy favorites on the money line at -201. The Pirates, who are 5th in the NL Central, have lost 8 straight.

The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and Luis L. Ortiz will be starting for the Pirates.

PITTSBURGH PIRATES VS SAN DIEGO PADRES BETTING PICK

The Pick: OVER 8 Runs

This game will be played at PETCO Park at 9:40 ET on Tuesday, August 13th.

HOW TO BET THE PIRATES VS PADRES:

• We have the Padres winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Pirates to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

San Diego picked up a 2-1 win over the Pirates in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a late rally, scoring one run in the 7th and another in the 8th. As for the Pirates, they scored their only run in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Padres were favored at -200 on the money line.

Joe Musgrove only went 4 1/3 innings for the Padres but didn’t give up a run and finished with one win. He finished with just one strikeout and allowed one walk. Jake Woodford put together a good outing for the Pirates, giving up just one run in six innings of work.

Ha-Seong Kim was the Padres’ top hitter, going 2/3 with an RBI. Oneil Cruz had a two-hit game for the Pirates. Bryan De La Cruz also had two hits and drove in a run for Pittsburgh.

Pirates Records & Stats

Pittsburgh is on an eight-game losing streak, and they are 56-62 overall this season. The Pirates are 5th in the NL Central, 11 games behind the Brewers. So far, they have gone 17-15 in divisional games. The Pirates dropped the first game of this series vs. the Padres.

At home, the Pirates are 27-31 this season, and they are two games above .500 at 29-31 on the road. As the underdog, the Pirates are 32-41 this season, and they are 24-21 when favored. Pittsburgh’s overall series record is 16-17-5, and they have dropped three straight series.

The Pirates have been a strong bet against the run line this season, going 67-51. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 37-23. They have covered the run line in two straight games and have been a good bet as the underdog, going 50-23.

The Pittsburgh Pirates are on the road today against the San Diego Padres. The O/U line for the game is set at 8 runs, which is right around their season average of 8.6 runs per game. The Pirates have gone over the total in 56 of their 117 games this season, and they are 11-14 in games with an O/U line of 8 runs. Overall, 51.7% of their games have had higher O/U lines than 8 runs.

Pittsburgh is sending Luis L. Ortiz to the mound today, and he comes in with a record of 5-2 and an ERA of 3.40. So far, he has made three quality starts and is averaging 6.8 strikeouts per nine innings. Ortiz most recently faced the Padres on August 8th, where he finished with a no-decision. In that outing, he gave up four earned runs in six innings of work. Looking back over his last three outings, Ortiz has finished with a no-decision in each one. He has allowed at least one homer in each of those starts.

Heading into today’s game, the Pirates are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 21st in the league. This season, they have been a little better on the road, averaging 4.3 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .235, and their team on-base percentage is just .302, both of which are in the bottom half of the league.

Bryan Reynolds and Bryan De La Cruz are the Pirates’ top home run hitters this season, with 19 and 18 home runs, respectively. Reynolds’ 69 RBIs are the most on the team, and he is also batting .284. Oneil Cruz is also in the mix for the team lead in homers, as he has also gone deep 18 times this season while batting .261.

Padres Records & Stats

San Diego is 67-53 overall and is 3rd in the NL West, 3.5 games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. The Padres are 19-18 in divisional matchups this year. The Padres have taken three straight games vs. the Pirates and are 8-2 across their last 10 games.

At home, the Padres are 31-29 this year and 36-24 on the road. As the favorite, the Padres are 41-31 and 26-22 as the underdog. San Diego has an overall series record of 24-13-3, and they have won seven straight series on the road.

San Diego is a good run line bet on the road, where they are 40-20, compared to 22-38 at home. The Padres’ average run margin in winning games is +3.7, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.5. As the favorite, they are 29-43 against the run line, but as the underdog, they are 33-15.

Today’s over/under line of 8 runs for the San Diego Padres’ game against the Pittsburgh Pirates is right in line with their season average. The Padres’ games have averaged 9.0 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 64-55. When the line has been set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 9-10-1. In total, 51 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, accounting for 42.5% of their games.

San Diego is starting right-hander Michael King today vs. the Pirates. He has made 22 starts this year and has a record of 9-6 with a 3.34 ERA. King’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.18. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work vs. the Pirates. Before that, he had won three straight starts. King has been much better on the road this year, going 8-2 with a 3.31 ERA compared to 1-4 with a 4.35 ERA at home.

So far this season, the Padres are the top-hitting team in the league, batting a combined .265. They are also the top team in the league in terms of fewest strikeouts per game. San Diego’s offense is averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 10th in the league. At home, they are averaging 4.4 runs per contest, compared to 5.1 runs per game on the road.

Jurickson Profar has been the Padres’ top power threat this season, as his 19 home runs are the best mark on the team and 14th in the league. Profar also leads the team with 72 RBIs. Manny Machado is 2nd on the team in RBIs (68) and is batting .269 for the season. Over his last 10 games, Jackson Merrill is batting .314 with four homers and 10 RBIs.