Pittsburgh Pirates vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Pick & Prediction 4/13/24
At 4:05 PM from Citizen Bank Park in Philadelphia, we have an interleague matchup between the Pirates and Phillies. Heading into Saturday’s game, the Pirates have a record of 10-4, while the Phillies are 7-7. Spencer Turnbull is starting for the Phillies, and he is facing off against Marco Gonzales for the Pirates.
Philadelphia comes into this one as the favorite, with money line odds of -152, and the over/under line is at 9 runs. You can watch this one on SN PT.
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES VS PITTSBURGH PIRATES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline -152
This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park at 4:05 ET on Saturday, April 13th.
HOW TO BET THE PIRATES VS PHILLIES:
- We have the Phillies winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Pirates to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Pittsburgh picked up a 5-2 road win over the Phillies in the most recent game of this series. The Pirates offense got off to a fast start, scoring four of their five runs in the first two innings. On the other side, the Phillies got on the board with one run in the 5th and added their final run in the 8th.
Bailey Falter only went five innings for the Pirates but gave up just one run and picked up the win. David Bednar closed things out. Cristopher Sanchez struggled on the mound for the Phillies, giving up five runs in six innings of work.
Henery Davis, Bryan Reynolds, and Jared Triolo each had two hits and two RBIs for the Pirates’ offense. Connor Joe also had a two-hit game and drove in a run. Bryce Harper had a two-hit game for the Phillies.
Pirates Records & Stats
Pittsburgh comes into this one, having gone 10-4 this season. These two teams are currently tied atop the NL Central. Looking at where the Pirates have picked up their wins, they are 7-2 on the road compared to 3-2 at home. Coming into today’s game, they have been good in day games, putting together an 8-2 record.
So far, Pittsburgh has yet to play a game against a divisional opponent. As the underdog, they have gone 8-2 this season compared to just 2-2 as the favorite. Their overall series record is 3-0-1.
When the Pirates win, they win big, with an average run margin of 2.9 runs. They have covered the run line in 10 of 14 games overall, including seven of nine on the road. They are 8-2 against the run line as an underdog and 2-2 as a favorite. Their overall run differential is +1.3 runs per game, and they are +2.0 runs per game on the road.
Despite the Pirates’ over/under record of 8-6, the under has hit in three straight games and in 85.7% of their games overall. The Pirates’ games have averaged 9.4 runs per game this season, but the over/under line for their games has been set at an average of 8 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 9 runs, the under has hit in both games.
Marco Gonzales and the Pirates are on the road to take on the Phillies. Gonzales has started two games this season, and he has a no-decision in each outing. In his first start, he went 5 innings and gave up 1 earned run, and in his last start, he went 6 innings and gave up 2 earned runs.
Looking at the Pirates’ offensive projections today, we see that Ke’Bryan Hayes is expected to have a solid game at the plate. His total hits projection is the highest on the team and 10th best in the league today. Meanwhile, Oneil Cruz has the best odds to hit a home run for the Pirates, as his home run projection is the best on the team and 5th best in the league. Bryan Reynolds is also expected to have a good game, as his total hits projection is 3rd best on the team and 19th best in the league.
Phillies Records & Stats
With an overall record of 7-7, the Phillies are 2nd in the NL East, trailing the Braves by two games. The Phillies head into today’s game, having gone 2-2 in their four-game series so far. Looking at their overall series record, they have won their last two series.
At home, the Phillies are just 3-5 this season and have gone 4-2 on the road. When favored, they are 5-5, and as the underdog, they are 2-2 this season.
Philadelphia has been a tough team to predict on the run line this season, as they have a 6-8 record. The Phillies have been a better bet on the run line on the road, where they are 3-3, compared to their 3-5 mark at home. Their average run differential for the season is -0.5 runs per game, but they have been outscored by an average of 1.6 runs per game in their home contests.
Philadelphia’s over/under record for the season is 5-9, and their average over/under line is 8 runs. The over/under line for today’s game against the Pirates is 9 runs, and the combined run average in Phillies games this season is 7.9 runs. The Phillies have played 14 games this season, and none of them have had an over/under line set at 9 runs. Their last nine games have all gone under the total.
Spencer Turnbull is taking the mound for the Phillies in their matchup against the Pirates. He has started 2 games this season, going 6 innings in his first start and 5 in his second. He has 13 strikeouts and has only given up 1 earned run so far this season.
Looking at the Phillies’ player projections, we see that Bryce Harper has the 2nd highest total hits projection on the team and his home run projection is the 3rd best in the league today. Kyle Schwarber has the top home run projection for the Phillies and is 3rd in the league in that category. Trea Turner has the highest total hits projection on the team and his home run projection is 7th in the league today.