Pittsburgh Pirates vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Pick & Prediction 4/12/24
At 6:40 PM ET, the Pittsburgh Pirates are visiting the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA. The weather forecast is calling for light rain with a temperature of 58 degrees and a wind speed of 16 MPH.
On the mound, Bailey Falter will be starting for the Pirates, while Cristopher Sánchez gets the start for the Phillies. The Phillies are currently favored in this NL matchup, with a money line of -167 compared to the Pirates at +140.
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES VS PITTSBURGH PIRATES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline -167
This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park at 6:40 ET on Friday, April 12th.
HOW TO BET THE PIRATES VS PHILLIES:
- We have the Phillies winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Pirates to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Philadelphia cruised to a 5-1 win over the Pirates in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a huge 7th inning, scoring four of their five runs. As for the Pirates, they scored their only run in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -135 on the money line.
Ranger Suarez pitched well for the Phillies in this one, going six innings and striking out eight without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Jared Jones took the loss for the Pirates. Jones went just 6 1/3 innings and gave up three earned runs.
Alec Bohm and Brandon Marsh each homered for the Phillies, while Bryson Stott scored twice and drove in two runs while going 1/3. Edward Olivares had a two-hit game for the Pirates.
Pirates Records & Stats
The Pirates are currently on a two-game losing streak and have an overall record of 9-4. They are tied for 1st place in the NL Central with the Brewers and have a 1.5 game lead over the Cubs. So far this season, they are 6-2 on the road and have a 7-3 record in day games.
Against the Phillies, the Pirates are 0-1 in the series and are 3-0-1 in series overall this season. They have been very good as the underdog this season, going 7-2, including a 5-1 record as the road underdog.
The Pirates have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 9-4 overall. They have been particularly strong on the road, where they are 6-2 ATS. They have an average run margin of 1.2 runs per game this season, with an average run margin of 1.9 runs per game on the road. They have a run line record of 7-2 as the underdog this season.
The Pirates have played 13 games this season, and 12 of them have had over/under lines set at 9 or lower. The over/under record for the Pirates this season is 8-5, and the average over/under line for their games has been 8 runs. The over/under line for today’s game against the Phillies is set at 9 runs, and the Pirates have gone under in their last two games.
Bailey Falter will be making his 3rd start of the season for the Pirates, and this one is on the road against the Phillies. In his first start, he went 4 innings and gave up 6 runs to the Marlins, but he bounced back with a 6-inning outing against the Orioles, where he only allowed 1 hit and struck out 1.
When looking at the Pirates’ player projections for today’s game, Ke’Bryan Hayes has the 8th highest total hits projection in the league. Bryan Reynolds is 17th in the league in hits projections, and his home run projection is 7th best in the league. Oneil Cruz is 23rd in total hits projections for today’s games, and his home run projection is 8th best in the league.
Phillies Records & Stats
Philadelphia is coming off a series win over the Cardinals and has won two straight games. They are currently one game behind the Braves in the NL East and will look to keep pace with them as they are taking on the Pirates, who are in first place in the NL Central.
So far, the Phillies have played well at home, going 3-4, but they have been better on the road, going 4-2. Overall, they are 7-6 on the season and have gone 3-3 against divisional opponents.
When the Phillies win, they win big, as their average run margin in victories is +2.9. When they lose, they lose big, as their average run margin in defeats is -4.0. Their overall run line record is 6-7, and they are 3-4 versus the run line at home. They are 3-3 versus the run line on the road, and when favored, they are 4-5 versus the run line.
It’s been a season of unders for the Phillies, as they’ve hit the under in eight straight games. Their combined run average for the season is 8.0, and their over/under record is 5-8. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 9 runs, and their average over/under line for the season is 8 runs. This season, the Phillies have played in 12 games with over/under lines set below 9 runs, and the over/under record in those games is 0-1.
Getting the start for the Phillies is Cristopher Sánchez, who is making his third start of the season. He started the year with a no-decision vs. the Reds, and then took a loss in his last outing vs. the Nationals. In that start, he went 4 and 1/3 innings, giving up 3 runs, but he did strike out 6 batters.
For the Phillies, we have Bryce Harper as our top hitter in this game. Harper has the 2nd highest total hits projection on the team and 10th in the league today. He also has the top odds to hit a home run in this game and the best odds in the league today. Kyle Schwarber has the 7th best total hits projection on the team, but he does have the top odds to hit a home run on the Phillies and in the league today. Trea Turner has the best total hits projection on the Phillies and the 6th best in the league today. He also has the 2nd best odds to hit a home run on the Phillies and 6th in the league today.