Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Mets Betting Pick & Prediction for 3/28

The Pittsburgh Pirates take on the New York Mets in an MLB regular season game at Citi Field. The Pirates come into this game with a record of 0-1, looking to bounce back after their opening loss. Managed by Don Kelly, the team aims to improve their position in the NL Central.
The Mets, on the other hand, hold a 1-0 record after winning their first game. Under the guidance of manager Carlos Mendoza, the Mets look to continue their winning ways at home. The game is set for a 4:10 PM start on a clear but very cold day, with a light breeze adding to the chilly conditions.
Pittsburgh Pirates Team Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates have had a challenging start to their 2026 season. In their recent outing against the New York Mets, they lost by four runs, with a final score of 11-7. Despite the loss, the Pirates managed to collect 10 hits, including three home runs, highlighting some strong performances at the plate.
Brandon Lowe stood out in the game against the Mets, hitting two home runs and driving in three runs. Ryan O’Hearn and Nick Gonzales also contributed with two hits each, with O’Hearn hitting a home run. The Pirates will need more consistent performances from their hitters to turn their season around.
On the pitching side, Paul Skenes struggled in his start against the Mets, giving up five earned runs in less than an inning. The Pirates’ pitching staff has room for improvement, as indicated by their high ERA and WHIP. Mitch Keller is expected to start the next game, and he will aim to provide a solid performance on the mound.
Pirates vs Mets Game Day Info
- Sport: MLB
- Teams: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets
- Venue: Citi Field in New York, NY
- Date: Saturday, March 28, 2026
- Betting Odds: Pirates Moneyline +134, Mets Moneyline -160
New York Mets Team Preview
The New York Mets are coming off a strong performance against the Pittsburgh Pirates. They scored 11 runs on 11 hits. Francisco Alvarez and Carson Benge each hit home runs to lead the offense.
In their recent loss to the Miami Marlins, the Mets had 7 hits but could not manage a home run. Bo Bichette contributed with a double, while Francisco Lindor and Juan Soto each scored a run. David Peterson pitched 5 innings, allowing only 1 earned run.
Against the Washington Nationals, the Mets struggled to find their rhythm. They only managed 5 hits and scored once. Joander Suarez pitched well, allowing no earned runs in his 4 innings on the mound.
BTB Betting Pick
The Mets are favored on the moneyline at -160. Based on their strong pitching performance in spring training with a 3.72 ERA, they have the edge. The Pirates have struggled with an ERA of 12.38 in the regular season. The projected score is Mets 5, Pirates 4. Therefore, the pick is for the Mets to win the game.
The total for the game is set at 8.0 runs. The Pirates’ high ERA and the Mets’ solid hitting with a batting average of .324 suggest a higher-scoring game. The projected total score is 9 runs. Thus, the recommendation is to take the over 8.0 at -105.