Pittsburgh Penguins vs Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Pick & Prediction 3/25/25
The Penguins and Lightning are set to face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Lightning will host the game at Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL. The odds for this Eastern conference game currently have the Lightning as the -1.5 goal favorite with the over/under line sitting at 6 goals.
PITTSBURGH PENGUINS VS TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING BETTING PICK
The Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5
This game will be played at Amalie Arena at 7:00 ET on Tuesday, March 25th.
WHY BET THE TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING:
- Our projections indicate that the Lightning should come out top with a projected score of 4-2.
- Take the Lightning on the moneyline
- The Lightning should also cover at -1.5
Is a Win at Tampa Possible for the Penguins?
The Penguins improved to 29-33-10 with a 3-1 win over the Canadiens. Pittsburgh covered the puck line as -1.5 goal favorites, and the total of 4 goals fell short of the 6.5 goal line.
Sidney Crosby led the way with two goals, and Blake Lizotte added an empty-netter to seal the win. The Penguins kept the Canadiens scoreless until the third period.
Sidney Crosby led the way for the Penguins with two goals, including his fourth of the season at 4:03 in the first period and his fifth on a power play at 1:20 into the second. Blake Lizotte added his second goal of the year on an empty net with just 45 seconds left in the game.
The Penguins fired 24 shots on goal, and despite 14 giveaways, they managed to score three times. Lars Eller picked up his third assist of the season on Lizotte’s empty-netter, while Kris Letang and Erik Karlsson also contributed with assists, bringing Karlsson’s total to seven this season.
Defensively, the Penguins will look to build on a strong performance in their last game, where they allowed just one goal to the Canadiens. Alex Nedeljkovic made 25 saves, finishing with a 96.2% save percentage. Pittsburgh’s defense also contributed 5 takeaways and 19 hits.
Can the Lightning Offense Score Enough at Home?
The Lightning fell to 40-25-5 after a 7-4 loss to the Jets. Tampa Bay, as the underdog on the puck line, gave up the game’s last three goals, including two empty-netters. The total of 11 goals easily surpassed the pre-game line of 6.5.
Tampa Bay jumped out to a 2-0 lead in the first period, but the Jets responded with seven of the game’s next nine goals. Four different players scored for the Lightning in the loss.
Tampa Bay’s offense came up short in their 7-4 loss to the Jets, despite firing 30 shots on goal. The Lightning struck early, with Brandon Hagel’s 7th goal of the season and Brayden Point’s 8th, which came on a power play. Mitchell Chaffee added his 4th goal, and Nikita Kucherov netted his 10th.
The Lightning had 8 giveaways and recorded 4 assists. Jake Guentzel picked up his 8th assist, while Nick Paul earned his 7th. Victor Hedman and Kucherov each added their 10th assist on Point’s power play goal.
Defensively, the Lightning gave up the first goal in the 1st period and two more in the 2nd, but they were tied 4-4 with the Jets in the 3rd. However, they allowed three late goals, including two empty-netters, resulting in a 7-4 loss. Jonas Johansson made 27 saves with an 84.4% save percentage, while the defense recorded 6 takeaways and 16 hits.