Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Pick & Prediction 3/28/25
At 8:00 ET, the Timberwolves (-270) will host the Suns (+221) in a Western Conference matchup. The over/under line for the game is 226.5.
Minnesota is favored by 7 points and currently sits 8th in the Western Conference with a record of 41-32. Phoenix is 11th in the West and has a record of 35-38.
PHOENIX SUNS VS MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Minnesota Timberwolves -7
This game will be played at Target Center at 8:00 ET on Friday, March 28th.
WHY BET THE MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 131-119 in favor of the Timberwolves.
- Our projections have Anthony Edwards finishing with 26 points, 6 rebounds and 5 assists.
- From the field, we have the Timberwolves finishing with a field goal percentage of 46.5% and knocking down 18 threes.
Can Phoenix Pull Out the Win as Road Underdogs?
After a 132-102 loss to the Celtics on Wednesday, the Suns’ record dropped to 35-38. Phoenix was a +4.5 point underdog at home and failed to cover the spread. The total points of 234 exceeded the O/U line of 221.5 by 12.5 points.
Phoenix went on a 10-0 run early, but Boston took control after that. The Celtics outscored the Suns 31-16 in the 2nd quarter and led 108-81 going into the 4th, closing out the game by winning the final quarter 24-21.
In their 132-102 loss to the Celtics, the Suns shot just 41.4% from the field and 31.7% from three-point range, hitting 13 threes. Kevin Durant was a bright spot, scoring 30 points on 68.8% shooting, including 3 made threes at a 75% clip.
Durant scored 16 points in the 1st quarter and added 10 more in the 3rd. Devin Booker contributed 14 points and 10 assists, despite shooting 30.8% from the field. Nick Richards was the only other Sun in double figures, scoring 10 points on 71.4% shooting.
The Suns struggled defensively against the Celtics, giving up 132 points on 50% shooting. They allowed 42 points in the 1st quarter and 35 in the 3rd, with Boston scoring 31 in the 2nd. Phoenix’s best defensive effort came in the 4th, where they allowed 24 points.
From beyond the arc, the Suns gave up 22 threes on 42% shooting. Boston also went 20/22 from the free-throw line. Phoenix allowed 11 offensive rebounds while recording 7 steals and 3 blocks.
Does Minnesota Stand a Chance at Home?
The Timberwolves fell to 41-32 on the season after a 119-103 road loss to the Pacers on Monday. Minnesota, favored by 1.5 points, not only lost but also failed to cover the spread. The game’s total score of 222 points came in under the 230.5-point line.
A key moment came when the Pacers went on a 12-0 run, stretching their lead from 67-57 to 79-57. Minnesota’s defense struggled in the 3rd quarter, allowing 41 points, and despite outscoring Indiana 30-24 in the 4th, the damage was already done.
In their 119-103 loss to the Pacers, the Timberwolves struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 9 threes at a 25.7% clip. Overall, they shot 48.4% from the field.
Naz Reid led the way with 20 points, including 10 in the 4th quarter, and made 3 threes at 50%. Anthony Edwards added 17 points, while Rudy Gobert contributed 16 points and 16 rebounds, shooting 66.7% from the floor.
Defensively, the Timberwolves struggled in the 3rd quarter, allowing 41 points, which contributed to their 119-103 loss to the Pacers. They gave up 29 points in the 2nd quarter but managed to hold the Pacers to 25 points in the 1st and 24 in the 4th.
Overall, Minnesota allowed Indiana to shoot 48% from the field, including 37% from three-point range, with the Pacers hitting 13 threes. The Timberwolves also sent the Pacers to the free-throw line 14 times, where they converted all their attempts. Minnesota recorded 36 defensive rebounds, gave up 9 offensive boards, and added 5 steals and 3 blocks.