Phoenix Suns vs Houston Rockets Betting Pick & Prediction 3/12/25

The Phoenix Suns travel to Houston to take on the Rockets in a Western Conference matchup. The Rockets are favored by 4.5 points and have won three straight games.

Phoenix is 11th in the West and 5th in the Pacific Division with a record of 30-35. The Rockets are 5th in the West and 2nd in the Southwest Division with a record of 40-25.

PHOENIX SUNS VS HOUSTON ROCKETS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Phoenix Suns +4.5

This game will be played at Toyota Center at 8:00 ET on Wednesday, March 12th.

WHY BET THE PHOENIX SUNS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 135-117 in favor of the Suns.
  • Our projections have Devin Booker finishing with 26 points, 4 rebounds and 7 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Suns finishing with a field goal percentage of 48.5% and knocking down 16 threes.

Will Phoenix Pull Through as the Underdog Road Team?

The Suns fell to 30-35 on the season after a narrow 120-118 road loss to the Grizzlies on Monday. Phoenix entered the game as +2.5 point underdogs and managed to cover the spread with the two-point loss. The total points for the game came in at 238, falling short of the 244.5-point line.

Phoenix started strong, leading 34-26 after the 1st quarter, but Memphis took control by winning the 2nd and 3rd quarters, outscoring the Suns 69-56 during that stretch. The Suns entered the 4th quarter down 95-90 and outscored the Grizzlies 28-25 in the final period but couldn’t complete the comeback.

In their 120-118 loss to the Grizzlies, the Suns hit 20 threes, shooting 52.6% from deep, though their overall FG% was 45.6%. Kevin Durant led the way with 35 points and 7 threes, connecting at a 77.8% rate from beyond the arc.

Devin Booker added 26 points, scoring 12 in the 4th quarter. Tyus Jones contributed 12 points, hitting 4 threes at 80% efficiency, with 6 points in both the 1st and 3rd quarters.

Defensively, the Suns struggled in the 3rd quarter, giving up 38 points, which contributed to their 120-118 loss to the Grizzlies. They allowed Memphis to shoot 46% from the field. Phoenix did manage to tighten up in the 4th, allowing just 25 points.

The Suns also had trouble defending the three, as the Grizzlies hit 17 threes at a 37% clip. Phoenix sent Memphis to the line 27 times, where they converted 23 free throws. The Suns finished with 31 defensive rebounds, 6 steals, and 2 blocks.

Can Houston Secure a Home Victory?

With a 97-84 win over the Magic on Monday, the Rockets improved to 40-25 on the season. Houston, favored by 3.5 points, covered the spread with a 13-point victory at home. The game’s total points of 181 fell well short of the 210.5 O/U line.

A key moment came when Houston went on a 13-0 run, turning a 19-13 deficit into a 26-19 lead. They outscored Orlando 24-16 in the 3rd quarter to take control, and the teams played evenly in the 4th, each scoring 22 points.

In their win over the Magic, the Rockets shot just 39.3% from the field, but connected on 16 threes at a 37.2% rate. Jabari Smith Jr. led the way with 5 made threes, hitting 50% from deep and finishing with 20 points.

Dillon Brooks added 17 points, while Jalen Green contributed 15 points and 8 assists, each making 3 threes. Alperen Şengün chipped in 14 points, scoring 8 in the opening quarter.

The Rockets’ defense was dominant in their win over the Magic, holding them to just 84 points. Houston limited Orlando to 19 points in the 1st quarter and just 16 in the 3rd. The Magic shot only 32% from the field.

From beyond the arc, the Rockets held the Magic to 8 made threes on 25% shooting. Houston also grabbed 43 defensive rebounds, gave up 13 offensive boards, and recorded 4 steals and 4 blocks.