Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Betting Pick & Prediction 4/5/24

It’s a battle of the NL East basement dwellers as the Phillies and Nationals square off in Washington, D.C. Both teams come in with identical 2-4 records, looking to get back on track in this divisional matchup. First pitch is set for 6:45 PM ET from Nationals Park, and you can catch the action on NSPP+.
On the mound, it’s a marquee matchup between Aaron Nola for the Phillies and Patrick Corbin for the Nationals. The over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, with the over at -116 and the under at -105. The Phillies are currently favored on the road, with a money line payout of -185 compared to +154 for the Nationals.
WASHINGTON NATIONALS VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Washington Nationals Moneyline +154
This game will be played at Nationals Park at 6:45 ET on Friday, April 5th.
HOW TO BET THE PHILLIES VS NATIONALS:
- We have the Nationals winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Nationals to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Phillies Records & Stats
Philadelphia lost their last game to the Reds 4-1, with the Phillies as -177 favorites. The Phillies scored first with a solo home run from Kyle Schwarber in the 3rd inning, but the Reds responded with a run in the 6th and 9th innings.
Phillies starter Zack Wheeler went 6 innings, giving up 3 hits and 1 earned run while striking out 10. The Phillies had 6 hits in the game, with Schwarber’s home run being the only extra-base hit.
After a rough season opener at home against the Braves, Aaron Nola and the Phillies are on the road to face the Nationals. In his first start, Nola took the loss, giving up 6 runs, 3 of which were earned, and he struck out 11 batters in 4 1/3 innings.
For the Phillies, we have Kyle Schwarber as our top projected home run hitter on the team and 7th in the league today. Bryce Harper is 3rd on the team in terms of total hits and 2nd in terms of home run projections. Trea Turner is our top projected hitter in terms of total hits for the Phillies and his total hits projection is 16th in the league today. Alec Bohm is 2nd in terms of total hits for the Phillies and his total hits projection is 17th in the league today.
Nationals Records & Stats
Pittsburgh Pirates took the series opener against the Washington Nationals, winning 7-4. The Pirates were favored (-123) on the road, with the Nationals (+102) at home.
Washington got off to a slow start, falling behind 4-0 after the first inning. The Nationals would battle back, but Pittsburgh’s offense was too much, with Connor Joe and Bryan Reynolds both driving in two runs.
Patrick Corbin is making his second start of the season, and he will be at home against the Phillies. In his first start of the season, he went 4 1/3 innings, giving up 4 runs on 7 hits and 2 walks. He did have 7 strikeouts, but he did give up a home run.
When looking at the Nationals’ player projections, Joey Gallo has the 9th highest total hits projection on the team, but his home run projection is the best on the team and 9th best in the league today. Joey Meneses is our top projected Nationals player in terms of total hits, with the 8th best total in the league today. His home run projection is 17th best today. Lane Thomas is 2nd on the team in terms of home run projections, and 12th in the league today. CJ Abrams is 2nd on the team in terms of total hits projections, and 11th in the league today. His home run projection is 14th in the league today.