Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals Betting Pick & Prediction 4/9/24

At 7:45 PM ET, the Philadelphia Phillies will be taking on the St. Louis Cardinals in an NL matchup at Busch Stadium in St. Louis, MO. The Phillies come into this game with a 5-5 record, while the Cardinals are just below .500 at 5-6.

On the mound for the Phillies is Zack Wheeler, while the Cardinals will counter with Sonny Gray. The oddsmakers have the Phillies as the slight favorites in this one, with a money line payout of -128 compared to the Cardinals at +108. The over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, with the over paying out at -108 and the under at -113.

ST. LOUIS CARDINALS VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK

The Pick: St. Louis Cardinals Moneyline +108

This game will be played at Busch Stadium at 7:45 ET on Tuesday, April 9th.

HOW TO BET THE PHILLIES VS CARDINALS:

• We have the Cardinals winning by a score of 5 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Cardinals to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

The Phillies picked up a win in the last game of this series vs. the Cardinals, winning by a score of 5-3. Heading into the game, the Phillies were slight underdogs at -107, while the Cardinals were -112 on the money line.

Neither team’s offense got much going early on, as the game was scoreless through the first four innings. The Phillies took a 2-0 lead in the 5th, but the Cardinals responded by tying things up in the 9th. Philadelphia ended up winning in extra innings, scoring two runs in the 10th.

Both Spencer Turnbull and Miles Mikolas had quality starts, but it was Jeff Hoffman who got the win out of the bullpen for the Phillies. Gregory Soto also picked up a save. Brandon Marsh was the only Phillies hitter to go deep, while Johan Rojas and Trea Turner each drove in a run.

Phillies Records & Stats

After starting the season with a no-decision, Zack Wheeler will be making his first road start of the season for the Phillies. In his first start of the year, Wheeler went 6 innings and struck out 10 batters, but took the loss after giving up 3 runs on 4 hits. He followed that up with a 6-inning outing against the Braves, where he didn’t allow a run.

For the Phillies, we have Trea Turner as our top projected hitter in terms of total hits. His total hits projection is 16th in the league today. Bryce Harper has the 2nd highest total hits projection on the team and his total hits projection is 25th in the league today. If you’re looking for a home run bet, Kyle Schwarber has the top odds on the Phillies and his home run projection is 4th in the league today.

Cardinals Records & Stats

St. Louis is looking to avoid a third straight loss as they are currently in the midst of a two-game losing streak. They are currently in 5th place in the NL Central, four games behind the division-leading Brewers. The Cardinals have a chance to move up in the standings as they are set to take on the Phillies, who are currently in 2nd place in the NL East.

So far this season, the Cardinals have played well at home, going 2-2, but they have struggled in day games, going just 2-5. Overall, they are 5-6 on the year and have won two straight series.

When betting the run line on the St. Louis Cardinals, it’s best to take them as the underdog, as they are 5-2 against the run line in those games. They are also 7-4 overall against the run line, but just 2-2 at home.

St. Louis Cardinals games have averaged 8.6 runs this season, and their over/under record is 5-5. The average over/under line in their games has been 8 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 7.5 runs is 0-1. Their games have had over/under lines set above 7.5 runs in 90.9% of their games this season.

Sonny Gray is coming off a season in which he made 32 starts and went 8-8. His ERA for the season was 2.79, and he finished with a WHIP of 1.15. Gray’s batting average allowed was .222, and his on-base percentage allowed was .281. He finished the season with 17 quality starts and gave up a total of eight home runs. Gray’s strikeouts per nine innings was 8.95, and his walks per nine innings was 2.69.

When it comes to the Cardinals’ hitting projections, Brendan Donovan has the best chance to have a big day at the plate. His total hits projection is the best on the team and 9th best in the league today. Willson Contreras is not far behind, as he has the best odds to hit a home run for the Cardinals and his home run projection is 10th best in the league. Paul Goldschmidt is 2nd on the team in terms of total hits and home run projections.