Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals Betting Pick & Prediction 4/10/24

First pitch for today’s NL matchup between the Phillies and Cardinals is set for 1:15 PM at Busch Stadium in St. Louis. The Phillies head into the game with a record of 5-6 and will be facing a Cardinals club that is 6-6. You can catch this game on BSMW.

Looking at the forecast, it looks like the temperature will be in the upper 50s with overcast skies. The over/under line for the game is sitting at 8.5 runs, and Aaron Nola will be starting for the Phillies and will be facing Lance Lynn for the Cardinals. Philadelphia is currently favored at -136 on the money line.

ST. LOUIS CARDINALS VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK

The Pick: St. Louis Cardinals Moneyline +114

This game will be played at Busch Stadium at 1:15 ET on Wednesday, April 10th.

HOW TO BET THE PHILLIES VS CARDINALS:

• We have the Cardinals winning by a score of 5 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Cardinals to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

The Cardinals picked up a 3-0 win over the Phillies in the most recent game of this series. St. Louis was actually the underdog going into the game at +116. The only home run hit in the game came from Nolan Gorman, who went 2/4 and had one of the Cardinals’ seven hits.

Zack Wheeler got the start for the Phillies and took the loss, despite giving up just three earned runs in seven innings of work. Sonny Gray got the win for St. Louis, while Ryan Helsley picked up the save. Gray gave up five hits and didn’t get any run support until the 4th inning when the Cardinals scored their first run.

Even though the Phillies had eight hits, they couldn’t push across a run, and the offense didn’t score in any inning. Trea Turner went 2/3 with a stolen base for the Phillies, while Brandon Marsh and Nick Castellanos also had two hits.

Phillies Records & Stats

Philadelphia has a chance to get back to .500 after dropping two of three to the Cardinals. Overall, the Phillies are 5-6 and are currently in 2nd place in the NL East, 2.5 games behind the Braves. They have gone 3-3 against division opponents and are 3-2 on the road this season.

So far this season, the Phillies have been favored in seven games and have gone 3-4 in those contests. They have also gone 2-2 as the road favorite.

Philadelphia has been a solid bet against the run line on the road this season, going 3-2. The Phillies’ average run margin in winning games is +3.0, while it’s -4.0 in losing games. They have been favored in seven games, going 3-4 against the run line. They are 2-2 vs. the run line as an underdog.

The Phillies have gone under the total in six straight games, and their over/under record for the season is 5-6. The average over/under line for their games this year is 8 runs, but today’s line is set at 8.5 runs. The Phillies’ games have had an average of 8.3 runs scored per game this season.

Philadelphia’s Aaron Nola is on the mound for the Phillies today, as they are taking on the Cardinals. Nola is coming off a win in his last start, where he went 5 2/3 innings and struck out 4. In his first start of the year, he took a loss, but he did strike out 11 batters in just 4 1/3 innings.

Our player projections have Kyle Schwarber as the top Phillies player in terms of hitting, as he has the highest home run projection on the team and 6th best in the league today. Bryce Harper is right behind him in terms of home run projections, as he has the 7th best odds in today’s slate of games. Trea Turner is our top projected Phillies player in terms of total hits, as his projection is 19th best in the league today.

Cardinals Records & Stats

After splitting the first two games of their series with the Phillies, the Cardinals will look to win their third straight series. They have played well at home, going 3-2, but have struggled on the road, going 3-4. Overall, they are 6-6 and are currently in 5th place in the NL Central, three games behind the Brewers.

St. Louis has played well as the underdog, going 4-4, and they are 1-0 as a home underdog. They have also fared well in night games, going 3-1, and are currently on a two-game winning streak.

When the Cardinals win, they win big, with an average run differential of +2.7 runs per game. Their run line record as an underdog is 6-2, and they have covered the run line in six straight games when getting points.

The St. Louis Cardinals have seen their last two games go under the total, and their season over/under record is 5-6. The average over/under line for their games this season is 8 runs, but today’s line is set at 8.5 runs. So far, they have played just one game this season with a higher over/under line than today’s, and that game went over the total.

Lance Lynn will be making his third start of the season today, as he will be taking on the Phillies. In his first start of the year, he went 4 innings, allowing 4 runs and striking out 7. He followed that up with a 4-inning outing against the Dodgers, where he gave up 4 hits and struck out 5.

Our player projections for the Cardinals’ offense today have Brendan Donovan leading the team in total hits, with his total hits projection being 24th best in the league today. Willson Contreras is not only 5th in total hits projection for the Cardinals, but he is also our top home run projection for the team and 13th in the league. Paul Goldschmidt’s total hits projection is 2nd for the Cardinals, and his home run projection is 3rd on the team and 17th in the league. Nolan Gorman is 6th in total hits projection for the Cardinals, but his home run projection is 2nd on the team and 14th in the league.