Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Betting Pick & Prediction 9/19/24
At 7:15 PM ET, the Phillies and Mets face off in an NL East matchup. This one is being played at Citi Field in New York, and the Phillies are 91-61, while the Mets are 84-68. New York is currently on a three-game winning streak.
The money line odds have the Mets at -141 compared to the Phillies at +120, and the over/under line is at 8 runs. Luis Severino is starting for the Mets, while the Phillies are going with Taijuan Walker.
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline +120
This game will be played at Citi Field at 7:15 ET on Thursday, September 19th.
HOW TO BET THE PHILLIES VS METS:
- We have the Phillies winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Phillies to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Phillies Records & Stats
Philadelphia is coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. In their 2-1 loss to the Brewers, Aaron Nola was excellent on the mound, allowing just one run while pitching seven innings. They also got a big offensive performance from Alec Bohm, going 1/3 with a homer.
Despite these performances, the Phillies couldnjson’t pick up the win. They also wasted a good outing from Carlos Estévez, who took the loss out of the bullpen. The Phillies were the slight favorite on the money line going into the game.
Philadelphia is 91-61 overall this season, putting them 1st in the NL East. They head into today’s game with a 7.0 game lead over the Mets for the division title. The Phillies are 27-18 against other teams in the NL East.
At home, the Phillies have been tough to beat, going 52-26 this season. On the road, they are 39-35 coming into today’s game. As the favorite, the Phillies have gone 78-45 this year and 13-16 as the underdog. Philadelphia’s overall series record is 25-17-7.
Philadelphia lost 2 of 3 games in their most recent series vs. the Brewers. Over their last 10 games, the Phillies are 6-4.
When betting the run line on the Phillies, it’s been a good idea to take them on the road. They are 39-35 against the run line on the road this season, and they have covered in two straight games. Their average run margin on the road is +0.4 runs per game.
In the Phillies’ games this season, the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, which is their average line for the year. The over/under record for the season is 70-74. In games where the line was set at 8 runs, the record is 17-18-2. Overall, 48.0% of their games have had lines set at 8 runs. The combined run average in Phillies games this season is 8.9 runs per game.
Taijuan Walker gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Mets on the road. He has made 14 starts and two of them have been quality starts. Walker’s ERA is 6.29, and his record for the season is 3-6. Looking at his home/road splits, Walker is 2-3 with a 7.90 ERA on the road compared to 1-3 with a 5.64 ERA at home. In his last outing, Walker went 3 innings out of the bullpen and didn’t give up a run. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Before that, he had given up two earned runs in three straight outings.
Heading into today’s game, the Phillies are 5th in the league in runs per game at 4.8, and they have been even better at home, where they are averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are the 4th best hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .258. Not only do they have a good team batting average, but they also have a good on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
Over his last 10 games, Bryce Harper has gone 13/38 with three homers and six RBIs. For the season, he is batting .288 with 29 homers. Kyle Schwarber is 7th in the league in homers and is batting .252 for the season. Schwarber has also driven in 97 runs, which is 10th best in the MLB.
Mets Records & Stats
Led by a big game by Luisangel Acuna at the plate, the Mets are coming off a 10-0 win over the Nationals to close out their series. Acuna went 2/4 with two RBIs and a homer. The Mets really broke things open with a nine-run 4th inning. Looking at the betting lines going into the game, the Mets were at -173 at home.
Jose Quintana started for the Athletics, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out four. New York’s offense was carried by Brandon Nimmo, who went 1/3 with a homer and three RBIs.
The Mets come into today’s game vs. the Phillies seven games behind Philadelphia for the NL East lead. New York is 84-68 overall and has won three straight games. These three straight wins came in the final three games of their series vs. the Nationals. This season, they have gone 26-19 in divisional games.
At home, the Mets are 43-34 this season and have gone 41-34 on the road. As the favorite, the Mets are 56-37 this season and 28-31 as the underdog. New York has won four straight games as the favorite. So far, their overall series record is 27-15-8.
The Mets have been a solid run line team this season, posting a 77-75 record against the run line. They have been slightly better on the road, going 42-33 against the run line. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 35-24 against the run line as an underdog this season.
The Mets are at home against the Phillies today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The combined run average for Mets games this season is 9.1 runs, and their over/under record is 76-71. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 14-9-1. Overall, 53.3% of their games have had over/under lines set above 8 runs. The over has hit in each of their last two games.
Luis Severino gets the start for the Mets today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a homer. Against the Phillies on September 14th, he finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work. Looking back further, Severino has allowed at least one homer in four straight outings. This season, he has a record of 10-6, an ERA of 3.77, and a WHIP of 1.23. Opponents are batting .229 off Severino this year. Out of his 29 starts, he has 13 quality starts, one shutout, and one complete game.
Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been two of the top power hitters in the league this season, as they both have 33 home runs, which is good for 2nd in the league. Lindor is batting .271 for the season, while Alonso is hitting .246. Lindor has gone deep three times in his last nine games, while Alonso has a six-game hitting streak going. Lindor comes into the game with 86 RBIs, which is the best mark on the team.
As a team, the Mets are 5th in home runs and are 6th in the league in runs scored at 4.8 per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. New York has been swinging the bats well of late, with Jose Iglesias hitting .395 over his last 10 games and Francisco Alvarez batting .259 with three homers in his last nine games.