Philadelphia Phillies vs Boston Red Sox Betting Pick & Prediction 6/13/24

Thursday’s interleague matchup between the Phillies and Red Sox gets started at 7:10 PM ET from Fenway Park in Boston, MA. The Red Sox are 34-34 this season, while the Phillies are 46-21 and are 1st in the NL East.

Philadelphia is currently favored on the money line, with the odds sitting at -118 compared to the Red Sox at -101. Tonight’s over/under line is sitting at 8.5 runs, and the game will be televised on NESN.

BOSTON RED SOX VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Boston Red Sox Moneyline -101

This game will be played at Fenway Park at 7:10 ET on Thursday, June 13th.

HOW TO BET THE PHILLIES VS RED SOX:

• We have the Red Sox winning by a score of 6 to 5
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Red Sox to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Boston rallied for five runs in the 5th inning in the most recent game of this Red Sox vs. Phillies series. The Red Sox scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up five in the 5th, picking up an 8-6 win. Heading into the game, the Red Sox were at +103 on the money line.

Both teams finished with 13 hits in the game, and the Phillies actually outhit the Red Sox in the game 9 to 4. Philadelphia had a chance to tie or take the lead in the 9th inning, scoring one run but leaving the bases loaded. Kenley Jansen got the save for the Red Sox.

Nick Pivetta only went four innings for the Red Sox but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. He finished with four strikeouts but issued four walks. Cam Booser got the win out of the bullpen.

Phillies Records & Stats

Philadelphia is currently 46-21 overall, and they lead the NL East by 10 games over the Braves. The Phillies are 12-6 in divisional games this season. So far, they have been able to win 27 of their 37 games at home while going 19-11 on the road.

The Phillies have gone 31-10 in night games this season, and they are 41-17 as the favorite. As the underdog, the Phillies are 5-4 this year. They have an overall series record of 14-5-4 this year. Philadelphia has gone 7-3 across their last 10 games and are looking to take the series from the Red Sox with a win today.

When betting the Phillies on the run line, it’s been a good idea to take them as the favorite, as they are 32-26 against the run line in those games. Overall, the Phillies are 37-30 against the run line this season, and they are 17-13 on the run line when playing on the road. Their average run differential this season is +1.6 runs per game, and they have a scoring margin of +1.4 runs per game on the road.

The Philadelphia Phillies are on the road today against the Boston Red Sox. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Phillies’ games have averaged 8.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 28-35. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 4-8. Overall, 64.2% of their games have had lower over/under lines than 8.5 runs.

So far this season, Aaron Nola has made 13 starts and has a record of 8-2. His ERA for the season is an impressive 2.77, along with a WHIP of .97. Nola has one complete game shutout this season and has turned in nine quality starts. In his most recent outing, he faced off against the Brewers and picked up the win. In that outing, he went seven innings, giving up no runs on five hits. Looking back further, he has given up two earned runs in three straight starts. Nola’s ERA at home is 4.03 compared to 1.88 on the road.

So far this season, the Phillies are 2nd in the league in scoring, averaging 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.4 runs per contest. Overall, they are 6th in home runs and have the league’s 5th best team batting average at .254. Philadelphia’s offense has been one of the best at avoiding strikeouts, and they are also 3rd in the league in walks.

Over his last five games, Kyle Schwarber has two home runs while going 7/20. This has pushed his season batting average up to .241. Schwarber is 2nd on the team with 13 homers. Bryce Harper leads the Phillies with 15 homers, and his 46 RBIs are the 2nd most in the league. Harper is also on a four-game hitting streak and is batting .282 for the season.

Red Sox Records & Stats

Boston is right at .500 with a record of 34-34, and they are 14 games behind the Yankees in the AL East. The Red Sox are 5-8 in division games this year, and they will play as the home team today vs. the Phillies. So far, they are 15-19 at home and 19-15 on the road.

The Red Sox have an overall series record of 8-9-4 this year, and they are 19-14 as the favorite. As the underdog, Boston has gone 15-20 and 4-7 as the home underdog. Boston has split the first two games of this series vs. the Phillies and are 5-5 in their last 10 games overall.

When the Red Sox win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.5. But when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.6 runs. Their overall run line record is 31-37, with a run line record of 11-23 at home and 20-14 on the road. As the favorite, they are 12-21 against the run line, while as the underdog, they are 19-16.

The Boston Red Sox are playing at home against the Philadelphia Phillies today. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is the exact combined run average for the Red Sox this season. Boston’s over/under record for the season is 29-34, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 12-11. Overall, 22.1% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, while 44.1% have had lower lines.

Tanner Houck gets the start for the Red Sox today and comes into the game with a record of 6-5 and an ERA of 1.91. So far this season, he has made 13 starts, one of which was a complete game shutout. Houck has turned in 11 quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he gave up two earned runs in seven innings of work. He picked up the win in that outing. Houck has been pitching well recently, as he has not allowed more than two earned runs in any of his last four starts. Opponents are batting .196 off the right-hander this season.

Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox offense is averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 11th in the majors. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, they are one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams, and they have the 8th best team batting average in the league. One area of concern for the Red Sox is their team strikeout numbers, as they are 26th in the league in this category.

Rafael Devers has been a big power threat for the Red Sox this season, as his 13 homers are the best on the team and 8th best in the MLB. He is also 2nd on the team with 32 RBIs and is batting .282. Devers has gone deep twice in his past seven games, while going 7/25 overall in that stretch. Jarren Duran and Tyler O’Neill have also been swinging the bat well of late, with Duran going 11/35 in his last eight games, and O’Neill has the 2nd most homers on the team (11).