Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Pick & Prediction 8/9/24

At 9:40 PM ET, the Phillies and Diamondbacks will face off in an NL matchup. This one is taking place at Chase Field in Phoenix, and the Phillies are the favorites on the money line (-156). The Diamondbacks have a money line odds of +132, and the over/under line is at 8.5 runs.

Philadelphia will be looking to keep their three-game winning streak alive, as they are 69-46 and in 1st place in the NL East. Arizona is 3rd in the NL West with a record of 63-53. Ryne Nelson is starting for the Diamondbacks, while the Phillies are going with Zack Wheeler.

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks Moneyline +132

This game will be played at Chase Field at 9:40 ET on Friday, August 9th.

HOW TO BET THE PHILLIES VS DIAMONDBACKS:

• We have the Diamondbacks winning by a score of 6 to 5
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Diamondbacks to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Philadelphia rallied for four runs in the 6th inning in the most recent game of this series, picking up a 6-4 win over the Diamondbacks. The Phillies had just two hits heading into the 6th but finished the game with 14 hits, compared to 11 for Arizona.

J.T. Realmuto and Bryce Harper each homered for the Phillies, while Jake McCarthy went deep for the Diamondbacks. McCarthy finished the game 3/5 with three RBIs.

Kolby Allard got the win for the Phillies out of the bullpen, while Carlos Estevez got the save. Jordan Montgomery took the loss for Arizona out of the bullpen.

Phillies Records & Stats

Philadelphia is on the road for today’s game vs. the Diamondbacks, and they lead the NL East by eight games over the Mets. The Phillies are 69-46 overall, and they have won three straight games, which includes taking the first game of this series vs. Arizona. So far, they have gone 15-10 against other teams in the NL East.

At home, the Phillies have been strong at 38-21 this year, and they are just above .500 at 31-25 on the road. As the favorite, the Phillies have gone 58-35 and 11-11 as the underdog. Philadelphia’s overall series record is 20-14-5, and they have dropped three straight series at home.

When betting the run line on the Phillies this season, it’s been a coin flip, as they are 58-57 overall. They have been slightly more profitable on the road, going 30-26, and are currently on a three-game run line win streak away from home. The Phillies have been a run line favorite in most games this season, going 46-47, and their average run margin in winning games is +3.9.

The Philadelphia Phillies are on the road against the Arizona Diamondbacks with today’s over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Phillies games this season is 8.9 runs per game, and their over/under record is 53-56. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 8-12. Overall, 33 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 28.7% of their games.

Zack Wheeler has been pitching well for the Phillies this season and comes into the game with a record of 11-5 and an ERA of 2.77. In his 22 starts, he has pitched 136 2/3 innings and has a WHIP of .98. Wheeler most recently faced the Mariners, where he picked up the win, going eight innings and not allowing a run. Before that, he had a rough outing vs. the Yankees, giving up seven earned runs in five innings of work. Wheeler has made 16 quality starts this season and is currently ranked third in the league in starter wins. Per nine innings, he is averaging 9.75 strikeouts compared to just 2.7 walks.

Philadelphia comes into the game as one of the league’s top offenses, averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 5th in the MLB. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.3 runs per game. Overall, they are 6th in home runs and have the league’s top team batting average. The Phillies have three of the league’s top 15 RBI leaders, with Alec Bohm leading the team with 78 RBIs and Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber coming in with 70 and 73 RBIs, respectively.

Bohm is also on a 10-game hitting streak and is batting .296 for the season, while Schwarber has been on fire of late, going 15/32 in his last eight games, with five homers and 10 RBIs. Schwarber’s 27 homers are 7th in the league, and he is batting .263 for the season.

Diamondbacks Records & Stats

Arizona is hosting the Phillies today with an overall record of 63-53, which has them 3rd in the NL West. Currently, they trail the Dodgers by 3.5 games in the division. The Diamondbacks are coming off a series win over the Padres and have an overall division record of 19-14 this year.

The Diamondbacks have dropped the first game of their series vs. the Phillies, meaning they are 20-13-4 in series this year. Arizona has won seven straight series, and their overall record as the underdog in games is 29-32. As the favorite, the Diamondbacks are 34-21 this year.

The Diamondbacks have a run line record of 59-57 this season, and they have been a solid bet on the run line when they are the underdog, going 37-24. They have a run line record of 25-32 at home, and their average run margin in winning games is 4.1.

When the Diamondbacks are at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. Their games have averaged 9.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 63-48. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 24-15. Overall, 44 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, which accounts for 37.9% of their games.

Ryne Nelson will be looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he gave up four earned runs in five innings of work. In that outing vs. the Pirates, he gave up two homers. Nelson finished with a no-decision in that outing. Before that, he had picked up the win in two straight starts. The right-hander has a record of 8-6 and an ERA of 4.65. Opposing batters are hitting .282 off Nelson this season. Overall, he has made 19 starts, seven of which were quality starts. Nelson’s ERA at home is 6.96 compared to 4.27 on the road.

Arizona comes into today’s game as the top-scoring team in the MLB, averaging 5.2 runs per game. They have been especially good at home, also averaging 5.2 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .258, which is the 4th best mark in the league.

Christian Walker and Ketel Marte have been the Diamonbacks’ top power threats this season, with Marte leading the team with 29 homers and Walker’s 23 long balls coming in as the 2nd most on the team. Walker is also batting .254 for the season, while Marte is hitting .295. However, Marte has struggled of late, going just 3/19 in his last five games. Jake McCarthy has been hot of late, hitting .467 with a homer and four RBIs in his last five games.