Philadelphia Flyers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Pick & Prediction 3/17/25

Betting on today’s Flyers and Lightning game? Catch the action at Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL, as the Lightning hosts this showdown at 7:00 ET on NBCS. The over/under goal line for this matchup is currently at 6 goals, and the Lightning are -1.5 goal favorite to win at home against the Flyers.

PHILADELPHIA FLYERS VS TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING BETTING PICK

The Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5

This game will be played at Amalie Arena at 7:00 ET on Monday, March 17th.

WHY BET THE TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING:

• Coming in as 1.5 goal favorites, our projections have the Lightning picking up a 4-3 win.
• Take the Lightning on the moneyline
• On the spread, we like Flyers (+1.5)

Can Philadelphia Grab a Win on the Road?

Philadelphia dropped to 28-32-8 after a 3-0 loss to the Bruins. The Flyers were underdogs on the puck line, and the total was set at 6.5 goals, with the combined score falling well short of that mark.

Offensively, the Flyers struggled, managing just 20 shots on goal and committing 15 giveaways. All three of Boston’s goals came from different players, with the final goal coming at 16:21 in the third period.

The Flyers were shut out in their 3-0 loss to the Bruins, managing 20 shots on goal but failing to find the back of the net. Philadelphia recorded 15 giveaways in the game.

None of the Flyers’ players scored, and they didn’t register any assists. They were held scoreless in all three periods.

Defensively, the Flyers gave up the first goal at 13:28 in the first period and another at 11:23 in the second. They allowed a third goal on an empty net late in the third. Samuel Ersson made 8 saves with a 100% save percentage, and the defense recorded 5 takeaways and 30 hits.

Does Tampa Bay Have a Shot at a Home Win?

After a 7-4 loss to the Jets, the Lightning now sit at 38-23-5. Tampa Bay held a 2-0 lead early on, but their defense gave up seven unanswered goals, including two empty-netters.

The total for the game was set at 6.5 goals, but both teams combined for 11. Tampa Bay, as the underdog on the puck line, failed to cover. Four different players scored for the Lightning in the loss.

In their 7-4 loss to the Jets, the Lightning’s offense put up 30 shots on goal and scored four times. Brandon Hagel got things started with his 7th goal of the season, followed by Brayden Point’s 8th, which came on a power play. Mitchell Chaffee added his 4th goal, and Nikita Kucherov scored his 10th.

Tampa Bay scored twice in the first period, once in the second, and tied the game 4-4 in the third before Winnipeg pulled away. The Lightning recorded 8 giveaways in the game.

On the defensive side, the Lightning gave up the first goal of the game at 12:23 in the first period and two more in the second, but they had things tied at 4-4 in the 3rd period. However, they allowed three late goals, starting at the 7:38 mark, resulting in a 7-4 loss to the Jets. Jonas Johansson finished with 27 saves and an 84.4% save percentage, while the defense added 6 takeaways and 16 hits.