Philadelphia Flyers vs Buffalo Sabres Betting Pick & Prediction 4/5/24
This article was published on Apr 5, 2024. Today’s picks NHL picks

Looking to win big? The Flyers and Sabres face off at 7:00 ET on NBCS. The Sabres are hosting the game at KeyBank Center in Buffalo, NY. The odds for this Eastern conference game currently have the Sabres as the -1.5 goal favorite with the over/under line sitting at 6 goals.
PHILADELPHIA FLYERS VS BUFFALO SABRES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Buffalo Sabres -1.5
This game will be played at KeyBank Center at 7:00 ET on Friday, April 5th.
WHY BET THE BUFFALO SABRES:
- Even though they are 1.5 goal underdogs, we see the Flyers winning this game by a score of 4-3.
- We like the Flyers on the moneyline (+101)
- The Flyers are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
Do the Flyers Have a Shot at a Win at Buffalo?
Heading into tonight’s game against the Sabres, the Flyers are in 7th place in the Eastern Conference with a record of 36-29-11. In the Metropolitan Division, the Flyers are in 3rd place, and they have gone 8-14 against divisional opponents this season.
On the road, Philadelphia has gone 17-13-7, and they are 23-21-8 this season when they are the underdog. Over their last ten games, the Flyers have gone just 2-8, and they have lost their last five games.
Philadelphia has dropped three straight games against the puck line and is just 5-5 in its last ten games against the puck line. Overall, the Flyers are 44-32 against the puck line this season, including going 28-9 on the road.
As the underdog, Philadelphia is 38-14 against the puck line, and they have 20 wins by multiple goals. In their 52 games as the underdog, the Flyers’ average scoring margin is -.3 goals per game.
This season, Philadelphia’s games are averaging 6.1 goals per game. Their average over/under line is 6.1. The Flyers currently have an over/under record of 32-40-4.
Across their last three road contests, Philadelphia has a 2-1 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 0-3, while averaging 2 goals per game.
On the offensive side, the Flyers are scoring an 2.9 goals per game this season, ranking 24th in the NHL. When it came to shots on target per game, they are 3rd in the league. So far this year, the Flyers are 25-18 in games they have had more shots on goal than their opponent. They are 8-11 in games with fewer shots on goal.
Philadelphia’s leading goal scorer is Travis Konecny. So far this season, he has 31 goals, placing him 27th in the NHL. In addition to his goal scoring, Konecny has 34 assists this season.
Defensively, the Sabres are currently 24th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 29 shots per game against Buffalo. They also are 11th in shutouts, coming in with 5 shutouts.
Goalie Samuel Ersson gets the start and has made 44 starts this season. His record at this point is 21-16, and his save percentage is 0.723%.
Will the Sabres Live Up to Expectations at Home?
Buffalo comes into tonight’s game with a record of 36-35-5, which puts them in 12th place in the Eastern Conference and 6th place in the Atlantic Division. The Sabres have gone 21-24 against other Eastern Conference teams and 10-13 in divisional matchups. Over their last ten games, Buffalo has gone 5-5. At home this season, the Sabres are 19-19-1.
On the year, Buffalo has been favored in 28 of their 76 games and have gone 16-11-1 in those contests. Against teams from the Eastern Conference, the Sabres have gone 20-24-4 when they are the underdog. Over their last three games, Buffalo has gone 2-1.
Buffalo comes into the game with a puck line record of 42-34 and a road puck line record of 23-14. So far, the Sabres have 25 wins by multiple goals and 11 wins by one goal.
Overall, the team has an average scoring margin of .0 goals per game. In their last 10 home games, the Sabres have gone 7-3 vs. the puck line.
The average goal total for Buffalo’s games is sitting at 6. The average over/under line for the season is 6.4. The Sabres come in with an over/under record of 31-43-2.
Philadelphia has a 0-3 record in their last three road games. In this stretch, they averaged 2 goals per game while allowing 4. The team also performed well vs the puck line at 2-1.
On the offensive side, the Sabres are scoring an 3 goals per game this season, ranking 20th in the NHL. When it came to shots on target per game, they are 13th in the league. So far this year, the Sabres are 21-21 in games they have had more shots on goal than their opponent. They are 13-14 in games with fewer shots on goal.
Buffalo’s leading scorer is JJ Peterka. So far, he has 28 goals which is 41st in the NHL. Peterka also comes into the game with 21 assists.
Defensively, the Sabres come into the season ranked 24th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 29 shots per game against Buffalo. For the season, they are ranked 11th in shutouts, coming in with 5 shutouts.
Goalie Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen comes into the game having made 46 starts this season. So far, his record is 25-20 and he has a save percentage of 0.857%.
