Philadelphia 76ers vs Denver Nuggets Betting Pick & Prediction 1/27/24

At 5:30 ET on ABC, the 76ers (+159) will travel to Denver to take on the Nuggets (-193) in a non-conference matchup. The Nuggets (-4.5) come into this game as the 4th seed in the Western Conference, while the 76ers (+4.5) are the 3rd seed in the East.

This game has an over/under of 228.5 and will be played at Ball Arena in Denver.

PHILADELPHIA 76ERS VS DENVER NUGGETS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Philadelphia 76ers +4.5

This game will be played at Ball Arena at 5:30 ET on Saturday, January 27th.

WHY BET THE PHILADELPHIA 76ERS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 118-117 in favor of the 76ers.
• Our projections have Joel Embiid finishing with Joel Embiid points, 10 rebounds and 5 assists.
• From the field, we have the 76ers finishing with a field goal percentage of 48.3% and knocking down 11 threes.

Can Philadelphia Stun the Crowd at Ball Arena?

The 76ers have gone 26-17 on the over/under this season and have hit the over in two straight games. Today’s O/U line of 228.5 is lower than their season average of 230.3.

Philadelphia’s last game against the Pacers had an over/under line of 239, and the teams combined for 256 points. The final score was 134-122 in favor of Indiana.

For the season, the 76ers have an average scoring differential of +5.3 points per game on the road. Against the spread, they are 12-8 on the road and 28-15 overall.

As underdogs, the 76ers are 2-7 straight-up and 4-5 against the spread. This season, they have been the underdog in just nine of their 43 games.

In the Eastern Conference, the 76ers are currently in 3rd place with a record of 29-14. Today, they are 4.5-point underdogs against the Nuggets.

When it comes to scoring, the 76ers are one of the top teams in the league, averaging 119.8 points per game (6th). On the road, they are putting up 118.4 points per game (7th).

Philadelphia’s offense is led by their ability to get to the free-throw line. They lead the league in free throws made per game (23.2) and attempts per game (27.9).

In terms of pace, the 76ers are 14th in the league at 99 possessions per game. They are also 14th in field goal percentage (47%).

Coming into today’s game, the 76ers’ defense is giving up an average of 112.0 points per contest. When it comes to defending inside the arc, the 76ers squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 54.1% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 33.9% from downtown.

Will Denver Pull Through as the Favored Home Team?

Dating back to January 9th, the Nuggets have hit the under in four straight games. This season, their games have averaged 226.3 points per game, and today’s O/U line is set at 228.5.

When favored this season, Denver has a scoring differential of +4.8 points per game. They have been favored in 41 of their 46 games and have a record of 29-12 as the favorite. Against the spread, they are 17-22 as the favorite and 19-25 overall.

Denver’s last game was a 122-84 loss to the Knicks. The O/U line for that game was 222 points, and the Nuggets were favored by 2.5 points. This was their 3rd straight loss at home.

Overall, the Nuggets are 31-15 this season, which is good for 3rd place in the Western Conference. Against the West, they are 17-10 compared to 14-5 against the East.

At home, the Nuggets are 17-4 this season and have won three straight games. On average, they are outscoring their opponents by +10 points per game at home. As the favorite, they are 11-9 ATS at home.

At home, the Nuggets are averaging 120.6 points per game, which is 9th in the NBA. Overall, Denver is 15th in the league in scoring, averaging 115.2 points per contest. In terms of pace, the Nuggets are the slowest team in the NBA, averaging just 96.2 possessions per game.

When it comes to shooting, the Nuggets are 3rd in the league in field goal percentage at 49%. However, they are just 12th in three-point shooting at 37%. Denver has made an average of 11.5 three-pointers per game, which is 27th in the NBA.

In terms of free throw attempts, the Nuggets are 28th in the league at 20.6 per game. They are also 29th in free throw makes at 15.5 per contest. When it comes to assists, Denver is 4th in the NBA with an average of 28.9 per game.

At present, the Nuggets’ defense is ranked 6th, allowing 111.1 points per game. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Nuggets are forcing 11.9 per game, which is 6th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 15th in blocked shots at 5.4 per game.