Penn State Nittany Lions vs Oregon Ducks Betting Pick & Prediction 12/7/24
With a 12-0 record this season, the Oregon Ducks are the -3.5 point favorites heading into their matchup against the Penn State Nittany Lions at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis. Kick-off is set for 8:00 ET, and the game will be broadcast on CBS. The Nittany Lions come in with an 11-1 record. The over/under line is currently at 49.5 points.
PENN STATE NITTANY LIONS VS OREGON DUCKS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Penn State Nittany Lions +3.5
This game will be played at Lucas Oil Stadium at 8:00 ET on Saturday, December 7th.
WHY BET THE PENN STATE NITTANY LIONS:
- We have the Oregon Ducks winning this one by a score of 23 to 20
- Even though we like the Oregon Ducks to win, our ATS pick is to take the Penn State Nittany Lions at +3.5
- We see this game finishing below the line of 49.5 points
Are The Penn State Nittany Lions A Candidate To Pull Off An Upset?
Penn State enters Week 15 against Oregon with an 11-1 record and a 54% chance of winning the Big Ten. They are also projected to be bowl-eligible and have a 99.7% chance of making the playoff. The Nittany Lions are ranked 9th in our power rankings.
They’ve been favored in 10 of 12 games this season, going 10-0 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +19.3 points per game, and they are 6-5 against the spread.
Penn State’s over/under record is 4-7, with their games averaging 47.3 points. This week’s line is 49.5 points, slightly below their average over/under line of 49.7 points.
Heading into week 15, Penn State’s offense is averaging 33.3 points per game, ranking 27th in the nation. However, they are 9th in our offensive power rankings. Quarterback Drew Allar has thrown for 2,668 yards, boasting a passer rating of 114. The team ranks 6th nationally in passer rating and 4th in completion percentage at 71.7%. They convert 47.2% of their third downs, ranking 14th.
Allar has 18 touchdown passes and five interceptions this season. On the ground, Penn State averages 195.8 rushing yards per game. Nicholas Singleton leads the rushing attack with 733 yards, seven touchdowns, and an average of 6 yards per carry. Harrison Wallace III is the top receiver with 579 yards and three touchdowns.
Penn State’s defense has been impressive this season, ranking 6th nationally by allowing just 14 points per game. They are also 12th in the country in rushing defense, giving up only 99.5 yards per game, and 13th against the pass, allowing 169.8 yards per game.
In their last game, a 44-7 win over Maryland, Penn State’s defense gave up just 7 points and 194 total yards. Maryland managed only 72 rushing yards on 31 attempts, while Penn State’s secondary allowed 122 passing yards and came away with three interceptions.
Can The Oregon Ducks Win As The Favorite On A Neutral Field?
Oregon enters Week 15 with a perfect 12-0 record and a 100% chance of making the CFB playoff. They hold the 6th spot in our power rankings and have a 46% chance of winning the Big Ten. The Ducks are also 5th in the nation with an 8.6% chance of winning the national championship.
Oregon has gone 6-0 at home and 5-0 on the road this season. They’ve been favored in 10 of their 12 games, and their average scoring margin is +19 points per game. Against the spread, the Ducks are 6-5 overall.
The over/under line for this week is 49.5 points. Oregon’s games have averaged 51.3 points, and their average over/under line has been 53.5 points. So far, they are 5-6 against the over/under this season.
Oregon’s offense ranks 18th in points per game, averaging 35.2, but they are 3rd in our offensive power rankings heading into week 15. Dillon Gabriel leads the passing game with 3,275 yards and a passer rating of 114. Oregon is 14th in passing yards per game, averaging 277.6, and 15th in completions per game with 23.7. They also have the highest completion percentage in the nation at 74%.
Gabriel has thrown 24 touchdowns and 6 interceptions this season. Jordan James leads the rushing attack with 1,166 yards and 13 touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Tez Johnson is the top receiver with 685 yards and 9 touchdowns on 67 catches.
Oregon’s defense has been impressive this season, ranking 8th nationally by allowing just 16.2 points per game. They’ve also limited opponents to 114 rushing yards per game (30th) and 171.5 passing yards per game (15th), with a passer rating of 69.9, the 16th-lowest in the country.
In their latest game against Washington, Oregon’s defense gave up 21 points but allowed just 43 rushing yards on 37 attempts. Washington managed 201 passing yards, completing 17 of 20 attempts.