Ottawa Senators vs Detroit Red Wings Betting Pick & Prediction 12/9/23

The Senators and Red Wings are set to face off at 7:00 ET on BSDE. The Red Wings will host the game at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, MI. The over/under for this Atlantic division contest is set at 7 goals, with the Red Wings being the favored team playing at home against the Senators.

OTTAWA SENATORS VS DETROIT RED WINGS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Detroit Red Wings -1.5

This game will be played at Little Caesars Arena at 7:00 ET on Saturday, December 9th.

WHY BET THE DETROIT RED WINGS:

• With the Red Wings being favored by 1.5, our NHL analytics models has this one playing out 4-3 in favor of the Red Wings.
• Take the Red Wings on the moneyline
• On the spread, we like Senators (+1.5)

Will the Senators Pull Through as the Away Underdog?

This season, the Senators have an overall record of 10-11-0. On the road, Ottawa holds a 2-3-0 mark, and they are 8-8-0 when playing at home. Their current record places them 8th in the Eastern Atlantic division and 16th in the Eastern conference.

Regarding the puck line, Ottawa comes in with a 11-10 record. On the road against the puck line, they are 3-2, while their home record is 8-8. For the season, Ottawa’s games have finished with an average of 6.8 goals per game. Their average over/under line for the season is 6.5. Overall, the Senators have an over/under record of 11-7-3.

Across their last three road contests, Ottawa has been good against the puck line posting a mark of 2-1. Their overall mark in these games was 2-1, while averaging 4 goals per game.

The Senators come into the game scoring an average of 3.4 goals per game, putting them 26th in the NHL. Regarding shots targeted at the goal per game, they are 28th in the league. This season, the Senators are 7-7 when getting more shots on goal than their opponents. And in games with fewer shots on goal, they have a 3-4 record.

Ottawa’s leading scorer is Brady Tkachuk. So far, he has 13 goals which is 16th in the NHL. Tkachuk also comes into the game with 6 assists.

In terms of defense, the Red Wings head into the game ranked 17th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 30.6 shots per game against Detroit. So far, they are 9th in shutouts, achieving 2 shutouts.

Goalie Joonas Korpisalo gets the start and has made 12 starts this season. His record at this point is 5-6, and his save percentage is 89.7%.

Can the Red Wings Deliver Being Favored at Home?

Currently, the Red Wings hold an overall record of 14-8-4 for the season. On the road, Detroit has a 6-4-1 record, while they are 8-4-3 at their home venue. They are currently positioned 3rd in the Eastern Atlantic division and 4th in the Eastern conference.

Detroit is 16-9 against the puck line this season. On the road, their puck line record sits at 8-3 compared to 8-6 at home. On average, Detroit’s games have finished with 6.9 goals per game. The season’s average over/under line stands at 6.4. In total, the Red Wings come in with an over/under record of 15-10-0.

The Red Wings are 2-1 puck line in their last three home games and 2-1 straight-up.

The Red Wings come into the game scoring an average of 3.8 goals per game, putting them 2nd in the NHL. Regarding shots targeted at the goal per game, they are 23rd in the league. In terms of power play goals, the Red Wings offense is 4th in power play goals. As for shorthanded goals, they are 15th in the NHL.

Detroit’s leading scorer is Alex DeBrincat. So far, he has 13 goals which is 15th in the NHL. DeBrincat also comes into the game with 11 assists.

In terms of defense, the Red Wings head into the game ranked 17th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 30.6 shots per game against Detroit. So far, they are 9th in shutouts, achieving 2 shutouts.

Heading into this matchup vs. Ottawa, goalie Alex Lyon has started five games in this season. His current record is 4-1, and his save percentage stands at 94.7%.