Oregon Ducks vs Wisconsin Badgers Betting Pick & Prediction 11/16/24

At 7:30 ET, the Oregon Ducks will be on the road vs. the Wisconsin Badgers at Camp Randall Stadium in Madison. The game will be broadcast on NBC. Oregon comes in with a perfect 10-0 record, while Wisconsin is 5-4 this season. The Ducks are -14.5 point favorites, and the over/under line is currently at 52.5 points.

OREGON DUCKS VS WISCONSIN BADGERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Wisconsin Badgers +14.5

This game will be played at Camp Randall Stadium at 7:30 ET on Saturday, November 16th.

WHY BET THE WISCONSIN BADGERS:

• We have the Oregon Ducks winning this one by a score of 32 to 20
• Even though we like the Oregon Ducks to win, our ATS pick is to take the Wisconsin Badgers at +14.5
• We see this game finishing below the line of 52.5 points

Will The Oregon Ducks Win As Road Favorites?

Oregon enters Week 12 against Wisconsin with a perfect 10-0 record and a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible. They have a 38% chance of winning the Big Ten and a 95.5% chance of making the playoff, according to projections. Oregon ranks 4th in the nation with a 19.6% chance of reaching the national championship game and a 7.7% chance of winning it all.

The Ducks have gone 5-0 at home and 4-0 on the road this season, with an average scoring margin of +19.7 points per game. They’ve been favored in eight of their ten games, going 8-0 as the favorite. Oregon’s ATS record stands at 5-4, with a 3-1 mark on the road and 2-3 at home.

The over/under line for this week’s game is 52.5 points. Oregon’s average over/under line this season is 54.3 points, and their games have averaged 51.7 points. They are 4-5 against the over/under, with an average margin of -1.1 points.

Oregon’s offense has been led by quarterback Dillon Gabriel, who has thrown for 2,848 yards and 22 touchdowns. He has a passer rating of 117 and has completed 74.1% of his passes. Oregon ranks first in the nation in completion percentage and eighth in passing completions per game. They are ninth in passing yards per game, averaging 287.7 yards.

Oregon is 19th in scoring, averaging 35.7 points per game, but they are ranked third in our offensive power rankings heading into week 12. They have converted 50.4% of their third-down attempts, ranking seventh nationally. On the ground, Jordan James has rushed for 946 yards and 10 touchdowns.

Oregon’s defense has been strong this season, ranking 12th nationally by allowing just 16 points per game. In their recent game against Maryland, they gave up 18 points but forced two interceptions. Maryland managed only 85 rushing yards on 30 attempts, while Oregon’s secondary allowed 206 passing yards.

Opponents have averaged 119.5 rushing yards per game on 29.7 attempts against Oregon, while quarterbacks have posted a passer rating of just 66.5, the 12th-lowest in the country. Oregon’s defense has allowed 176.1 passing yards per game, ranking 27th nationally, with a completion rate of 54.8%.

Are The Wisconsin Badgers Going Win In At Upset At Camp Randall Stadium

Wisconsin enters Week 12 with a 5-4 record, ranked 34th in our CFB power rankings. They have an 82% chance of becoming bowl-eligible but no shot at winning the Big Ten. The Badgers are 2-2 at home and 2-2 on the road this season.

Wisconsin is 3-0 as the favorite and 1-4 as the underdog, with an average scoring margin of +3.7 points per game. Against the spread, they are 3-5, going 2-1 as favorites and 1-4 as underdogs.

Their over/under record stands at 5-3, with an average line of 46.6 points. This week’s line is set at 52.5 points, with seven of their games having lower lines and five games exceeding this total.

Wisconsin’s offense has been underwhelming this season, ranking 77th in our offensive power rankings and averaging 25.1 points per game, placing them 64th nationally. Braedyn Locke leads the passing game with 1,418 yards, but he has thrown eight interceptions and has a passer rating of 74. Overall, Wisconsin ranks 114th in passer rating and 90th in passing yards per game.

Locke has completed 56.8% of his passes, and Wisconsin ranks 53rd in passing attempts per game. On third downs, they convert 40.7% of the time. Tawee Walker leads the rushing attack with 676 yards and 10 touchdowns, as Wisconsin averages 173.9 rushing yards per game.

Wisconsin’s defense will look to bounce back after giving up 42 points in a 42-10 loss to Iowa. Despite the high score, they allowed just 12 first downs and 265 total yards, including 80 rushing yards on 31 attempts and 185 passing yards. They also forced two interceptions in the game.

On the season, Wisconsin ranks 30th nationally, allowing 21.4 points per game. They are 12th in the country in passing yards allowed, giving up just 158.9 yards per game. Opponents have completed 59.4% of their passes and averaged 165.3 rushing yards per game against Wisconsin’s defense.