Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Baylor Bears Betting Pick & Prediction 10/26/24

ESPN+ will be covering the week nine matchup between the Oklahoma State Cowboys and Baylor Bears, set to kick off at 3:30 ET from McLane Stadium in Waco. Both teams enter this game with a 3-4 record for the season. The Bears are the -6.5 point favorites at home, with the over/under line currently sitting at 64.5 points.

OKLAHOMA STATE COWBOYS VS BAYLOR BEARS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Oklahoma State Cowboys +6.5

This game will be played at McLane Stadium at 3:30 ET on Saturday, October 26th.

WHY BET THE OKLAHOMA STATE COWBOYS:

• We have the Oklahoma State Cowboys winning this one by a score of 35 to 24
• Not only do we have the Oklahoma State Cowboys winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +6.5
• We see this game finishing below the line of 64.5 points

Will The Oklahoma State Cowboys Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs

Oklahoma State enters Week 9 against Baylor with a 3-4 record, ranked 43rd in our CFB power rankings. They have a 48.1% chance of reaching bowl eligibility. The Cowboys are 1-2 on the road and 0-2 at home this season.

Oklahoma State’s ATS record stands at 2-3, with a 2-1 mark on the road and 0-2 at home. Their average scoring margin is +2.1 points per game.

This week’s over/under line is 64.5 points, higher than any of their previous games. The Cowboys’ average over/under line has been 58.9 points, and their over/under record is 2-3, with games averaging 59.6 points.

Oklahoma State’s offense is averaging 30.9 points per game heading into week 9, placing them 40th in the nation. They rank 35th in our offensive power rankings. The Cowboys have been pass-heavy, ranking 12th in passing attempts per game, and they are 22nd in passing yards, averaging 281.1 yards per game. They are 20th in completions.

Alan Bowman leads the team with 1,760 passing yards and 14 touchdowns, though he has thrown nine interceptions and has a passer rating of 86. Oklahoma State ranks 79th in passer rating nationally. On the ground, they are 102nd, averaging 115 rushing yards per game. Ollie Gordon II has 469 rushing yards and five touchdowns. De’Zhaun Stribling leads the receivers with 556 yards and four touchdowns.

Oklahoma State’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 28.7 points per game. In their recent game against BYU, they gave up 38 points and 473 total yards, including 255 rushing yards and three rushing touchdowns.

Opponents have averaged 238.3 rushing yards per game against Oklahoma State, ranking them 179th nationally. Through the air, they’ve allowed 252.7 passing yards per game, despite holding quarterbacks to a 56.3% completion rate.

Are The Baylor Bears Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?

With a 3-4 record, Baylor ranks 54th in our CFB power rankings ahead of their Week 9 game against Oklahoma State. They have a 57.5% chance of becoming bowl-eligible but are out of the Big 12 title race. At home, the Bears are 1-1, while they’ve gone 1-2 on the road this season.

Baylor’s ATS record is 3-2, and they’ve covered twice on the road (2-1) and once at home (1-1). Their average scoring margin is +6.9 points per game, and they’ve been favored in two of their seven games, going 1-1 ATS as the favorite.

This week’s over/under line is 64.5 points, significantly higher than Baylor’s average line of 49.2. They’ve played four games with more than 64.5 points and six with fewer, averaging 58 points per game and exceeding the total by an average of 10.4 points.

Heading into week 9, Baylor’s offense is averaging 32.4 points per game, ranking 33rd in the nation. In our offensive power rankings, they are 54th. Quarterback Sawyer Robertson has thrown for 1,319 yards, completing 60.3% of his passes, with 14 touchdowns and three interceptions. His passer rating is 103.

Baylor is 44th in passing attempts per game, averaging 31.1, and they are 59th in passing yards, with 235 per game. They are converting 38.5% of their third downs. On the ground, they are averaging 152.1 rushing yards per game. Bryson Washington leads the team with 302 rushing yards, averaging 5 yards per carry. Josh Cameron has 352 receiving yards and seven touchdowns.

Heading into their matchup with Oklahoma State, Baylor’s defense ranks 54th nationally, allowing 25.6 points per game. They’ve given up 162 rushing yards per game, ranking 112th, and 195.3 passing yards per game. Opposing quarterbacks have completed just 52.9% of their passes, the 13th-lowest rate in the country, with a passer rating of 74.3, which is 31st-lowest.

In their recent game against Texas Tech, Baylor allowed 35 points but still won 59-35. The defense gave up 455 total yards, including 306 passing yards and four passing touchdowns, while forcing one interception. Texas Tech also ran the ball 35 times for 149 yards.