Oklahoma Sooners vs Navy Midshipmen Betting Pick & Prediction Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl
This article was published on Dec 9, 2024. Today’s picks College Football picks

ESPN will be covering the Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl matchup between the Oklahoma Sooners and the Navy Midshipmen, set for 12:00 ET on Friday, December 27th. The game will be played at Amon G. Carter Stadium in Fort Worth, with Oklahoma technically the away team. The over/under line is at 44.5 points, and the Sooners are the -8.5-point favorites. The money line odds are +240 for Navy and -290 for Oklahoma. The Sooners are 6-6 on the season, while Navy comes in at 8-3.
OKLAHOMA SOONERS VS NAVY MIDSHIPMEN BETTING PICK
The Pick: Oklahoma Sooners -8.5
This game will be played at Amon G. Carter Stadium at 12:00 ET on Friday, December 27th.
WHY BET THE OKLAHOMA SOONERS:
- We have the Oklahoma Sooners winning this one by a score of 28 to 18
- Not only do we have the Oklahoma Sooners winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -8.5
- Look for this game to go over the line of 44.5 points
Will The Oklahoma Sooners Take Care Of Business As The Favorite?
Oklahoma enters their Week 1 matchup against Navy with a 6-6 record. They’ve gone 4-3 at home and 1-3 on the road this season. The Sooners have been favored in four of their 12 games, going 3-1 as the favorite.
Their ATS record stands at 5-6, with a 2-2 mark on the road and 3-4 at home. Oklahoma is 2-2 against the spread as the favorite this season.
This week’s over/under line is set at 44.5 points. Oklahoma’s games have averaged 45.9 points, and their average over/under line has been 48.5 points, with a margin of -5.0 points.
Oklahoma’s offense has been heavily reliant on their run game, averaging 41.8 rushing attempts per game, which ranks 13th nationally. However, they are only 71st in rushing yards, with 161.9 yards per game. Jovantae Barnes leads the team with 577 rushing yards, five touchdowns, and an average of 4 yards per carry.
Quarterback Jackson Arnold has thrown for 1,421 yards, completing 62.6% of his passes, with 12 touchdowns and three interceptions. Oklahoma ranks 118th in passing yards per game and 70th in scoring, with 24.3 points per game. They are 107th in third-down conversions, and Arnold’s passer rating is 89.
Oklahoma’s defense, ranked 25th nationally, has allowed 21.6 points per game this season. In their recent game against LSU, they gave up 37 points, including 285 passing yards and three touchdowns. LSU also ran for 110 yards on 29 carries.
Despite the loss, Oklahoma’s defense has been strong against the run, ranking 19th in the nation by allowing just 107.5 rushing yards per game. Opponents have averaged 212.4 passing yards per game with a 60.5% completion rate.
Will Home Field Advantage Help The Navy Midshipmen Upset The Oklahoma Sooners?
Navy enters Week 12 with an 8-3 record, having gone 4-1 on the road and 3-2 at home. They’ve been favored in six of their 11 games, posting a 5-1 record as the favorite. At home, they are 2-0 when favored and 1-2 as the underdog.
The Midshipmen have a 7-3 record against the spread this season, with an average scoring margin of +9.1 points per game. They are 4-1 ATS on the road and 3-2 at home, covering five of six games as the favorite.
Navy’s over/under record is 6-4, with their games averaging 55.5 points. Their average over/under line is 50.2 points, and this week’s line is set at 44.5 points.
Navy’s offense is averaging 32.3 points per game, placing them 30th in the nation, and they are ranked 27th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 1. Their strength is their rushing attack, averaging 249.2 yards per game on 45.1 attempts, ranking 10th nationally. Eli Heidenreich leads the team with 402 rushing yards, averaging 7 yards per carry, and has scored three touchdowns.
Quarterback Blake Horvath has thrown for 1,154 yards, with 11 touchdowns and four interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 108. Navy ranks 106th in passing attempts per game and 129th in passing yards, averaging 128.2 yards through the air. Nathan Kent, the leading receiver, has 184 yards and two touchdowns.
Navy’s defense has allowed 23.2 points per game this season, ranking 23rd nationally. In their recent win against East Carolina, they gave up 20 points and forced one interception. The defense allowed 350 total yards, including 219 passing yards and two touchdowns, while holding East Carolina to 131 rushing yards on 34 attempts.
Opponents have averaged 220.6 passing yards per game against Navy, completing 58.9% of their passes. On the ground, Navy’s defense has faced 36.5 rushing attempts per game, allowing an average of 162.5 rushing yards, ranking 110th in the country.
