Oklahoma City Thunder vs Sacramento Kings Betting Pick & Prediction 3/25/25

At 10:00 ET, the Thunder (-452) will travel to Sacramento to take on the Kings (+348) in a Western Conference matchup. The over/under line for this game is 231.

Oklahoma City (-10) is currently on a six-game winning streak and has the best record in the NBA at 59-12. Sacramento (-10) is 9th in the Western Conference and has lost three straight games.

OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER VS SACRAMENTO KINGS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Oklahoma City Thunder -10

This game will be played at Golden 1 Center at 10:00 ET on Tuesday, March 25th.

WHY BET THE OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 137-119 in favor of the Thunder.
  • Our projections have Shai Gilgeous-Alexander finishing with 31 points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Thunder finishing with a field goal percentage of 47.7% and knocking down 16 threes.

Can the Thunder Grab a Win on the Road?

Oklahoma City improved to 59-12 on the season with a 103-101 win over the Clippers on Sunday. The Thunder were favored by 1.5 points and covered the spread, while the game’s total of 204 points fell well short of the 227.5-point line.

A key 15-0 run turned the game in Oklahoma City’s favor, as they went from trailing 36-26 to leading 51-36. The Thunder’s defense held the Clippers to 17 points in the 2nd quarter, and they maintained their lead through the 3rd and 4th quarters, despite being outscored 26-24 and 24-22, respectively.

In the Thunder’s 103-101 win over the Clippers, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the way with 26 points, despite shooting just 24.1% from the field. The Thunder shot 40.2% overall and connected on 12 threes at a 34.3% rate.

Aaron Wiggins added 19 points, hitting 3 threes at 37.5%, while Isaiah Hartenstein contributed 14 points and 10 rebounds. Wiggins scored 9 points in the 2nd quarter and added 7 more in the 4th, while Alex Caruso also contributed 8 of his 14 points in the final period.

Despite a rough start, the Thunder tightened up defensively, allowing just 17 points in the 2nd quarter to help secure a 103-101 win over the Clippers. Oklahoma City gave up 34 points in the 1st quarter but limited Los Angeles to 26 points in the 3rd and 24 in the 4th.

The Thunder held the Clippers to 42% shooting, including just 30% from beyond the arc, where Los Angeles made only 8 threes. Oklahoma City also recorded 9 steals and 8 blocks in the game.

Do the Kings Have What it Takes at Home?

The Kings dropped to 35-36 on the season after a 113-95 home loss to the Celtics on Monday. Sacramento, who entered the game as +5 point underdogs, failed to cover the spread. The total score of 208 points fell short of the 224.5-point O/U line.

Sacramento started strong with a 10-0 run, but Boston took control, winning each quarter. The Celtics outscored the Kings 26-22 in the 2nd quarter, 32-27 in the 3rd, and 25-17 in the 4th.

In their 113-95 loss to the Celtics, the Kings struggled offensively, hitting just 8 threes at a 33.3% clip. DeMar DeRozan led the way with 20 points and 10 assists, despite shooting 37.5% from the field.

Domantas Sabonis contributed 16 points and 17 rebounds, shooting 60%, while Keon Ellis added 14 points, making 2 threes at 50%. Zach LaVine also scored 14, with 8 of his points coming in the 4th quarter.

Defensively, the Kings gave up 113 points to the Celtics, who shot 45% from the field. Sacramento allowed 30 points in the 1st quarter and 32 in the 3rd, but they held Boston to 26 points in the 2nd and 25 in the 4th.

The Kings struggled to contain the Celtics from beyond the arc, allowing 19 made threes on 38% shooting. Boston also went 12/20 from the free-throw line. Sacramento finished with 37 defensive rebounds, gave up 10 offensive boards, and recorded 7 steals.