Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Pick & Prediction 5/26/25

At 8:30 ET, the 6th-seeded Minnesota Timberwolves (+125) will host the top-seeded Oklahoma City Thunder (-146) in a Northwest Division matchup. The over/under line for this game is 217.5 points.

This game will be played at the Target Center in Minneapolis and can be seen on ESPN.

OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER VS MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Oklahoma City Thunder -3

This game will be played at Target Center at 8:30 ET on Monday, May 26th.

WHY BET THE OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 148-129 in favor of the Thunder.
• Our projections have Shai Gilgeous-Alexander finishing with 32 points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists.
• From the field, we have the Thunder finishing with a field goal percentage of 47.8% and knocking down 18 threes.

Can Oklahoma City Pull Off A Win at Target Center?

The Thunder dropped to 68-14 on the season after a 143-101 road loss to the Timberwolves on Saturday. Oklahoma City, favored by 3 points, not only lost but failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game reached 244, surpassing the O/U line of 217 by 27 points.

Minnesota took control early, going on a 12-0 run to extend their lead from 16-9 to 28-9. The Thunder couldn’t recover, trailing 107-70 going into the 4th quarter as the Timberwolves continued to outscore them in each quarter.

In their 143-101 loss to the Timberwolves, the Thunder shot 40.7% from the field and 31.8% from three, making 14 threes. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Ajay Mitchell led the team with 14 points each, with Gilgeous-Alexander shooting 30.8% from the field.

Jalen Williams added 13 points, scoring 11 of those in the 2nd quarter. Mitchell scored all 14 of his points in the 4th quarter.

The Thunder struggled defensively against the Timberwolves, giving up 143 points in a tough loss. Oklahoma City allowed at least 34 points in every quarter, including 38 in the 2nd. Minnesota shot 57% from the field.

From beyond the arc, the Timberwolves hit 20 threes at a 50% clip. The Thunder sent Minnesota to the line 17 times, where they made 13 free throws. Oklahoma City finished with 26 defensive rebounds, 5 steals, and 3 blocks.

Can Minnesota Lock in a Home Win?

The Timberwolves improved to 49-33 on the season with a dominant 143-101 win over the Thunder on Saturday. Despite being +3 point underdogs, Minnesota not only won but covered the spread with a 42-point blowout. The game’s total of 244 points exceeded the O/U line of 217 by 27 points.

Minnesota set the tone early, going on a 12-0 run to extend their lead from 16-9 to 28-9. They continued to build on this, outscoring the Thunder 38-27 in the 2nd quarter and 35-29 in the 3rd. Heading into the 4th with a 107-70 lead, the Timberwolves finished strong, winning the final quarter 36-31.

The Timberwolves’ offense was firing on all cylinders in their 143-101 win over the Thunder, shooting 57.3% from the field and knocking down 20 threes at a 50% clip. Anthony Edwards led the way with 30 points, 9 rebounds, and 6 assists, hitting 5 threes at 62.5% efficiency and shooting 70.6% overall.

Edwards scored 16 points in the 1st quarter and added 10 more in the 3rd. Julius Randle contributed 24 points, with 9 coming in the 3rd, while Terrence Shannon added 15 points, including 9 in the 2nd quarter. Leonard Miller scored all 11 of his points in the 4th.

The Timberwolves’ defense was on point in their 143-101 win over the Thunder, especially in the 1st quarter, where they allowed just 14 points. Overall, they gave up 101 points, with the Thunder scoring 27 in the 2nd, 29 in the 3rd, and 31 in the 4th. Minnesota held Oklahoma City to 40% shooting from the field.

From beyond the arc, the Thunder hit 14 threes at a 31% clip. The Timberwolves sent the Thunder to the line 19 times, where they made 17 free throws. Minnesota controlled the boards, allowing just 5 offensive rebounds while collecting 39 defensive boards. They also added 6 steals and 3 blocks.