Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Betting Pick & Prediction 4/5/24

At 7:00 ET, the Pacers (-211) will host the Thunder (+173) at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis. Indiana (-5.5) is favored in this non-conference matchup, and the over/under line is set at 234.5.

Oklahoma City has lost two straight and is currently third in the Western Conference with a record of 52-24. As for the Pacers, they are 43-34 and hold the sixth seed in the East.

OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER VS INDIANA PACERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Oklahoma City Thunder +5.5

This game will be played at Gainbridge Fieldhouse at 7:00 ET on Friday, April 5th.

WHY BET THE OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 116-115 in favor of the Thunder.
• Our projections have Jalen Williams finishing with Jalen Williams points, 4 rebounds and 5 assists.
• From the field, we have the Thunder finishing with a field goal percentage of 49.4% and knocking down 13 threes.

Are Oklahoma City Ready for a Road Win?

The Thunder are 5.5-point underdogs today against the Pacers. This season, Oklahoma City has been the underdog in 20 of their 76 games and has gone 10-10 straight-up and 12-8 ATS. As the underdog, they have an average scoring margin of -0.7 points per game.

Oklahoma City’s O/U record for the season is 41-34-1. So far, 43 of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s (234.5), and their games have averaged 233.2 points per game.

In their last game, the Thunder lost to the Celtics by a score of 135-100. The O/U line for that game was 229 points. Oklahoma City was getting 12 points as the underdog going into the game, and they are now 43-33 ATS for the season.

The Thunder are currently 3rd in the Western Conference with a record of 52-24. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 33-16 and 12-4 against teams in the Northwest Division. On the road, the Thunder are 23-16 compared to 29-8 at home.

When it comes to scoring, the Thunder are one of the most potent offenses in the league, averaging 119.9 points per game (4th). However, their scoring average drops slightly on the road to 117.1 points per game (6th).

So far this season, the Thunder have outscored the NBA scoring average in 68.4% of their games. When it comes to pace, they are 9th in the league at 99.5 possessions per game.

Oklahoma City’s offense is one of the best at getting to the rim, as they are 4th in two-point field goal percentage (56%). Overall, they are shooting 49% from the field (2nd).

On defense, the Thunder come into the game ranked 13th in the league in points allowed at 113.3 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 118.7 points per contest (8th). The Oklahoma City defense has allowed opponents to shoot 36.6% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 45.8% of their field goal attempts vs. Oklahoma City.

Can Indiana Secure a Home Victory?

Indiana’s ATS record for the season is 41-34, including a 20-17 record at home. The Pacers have covered the spread in their last two home games. At home, Indiana has an average scoring margin of +5.8 PPG.

This season, the Pacers have been favored in 39 of their 77 games and have a record of 22-17 as the favorite. When favored, Indiana has gone 18-21 ATS, with an average scoring margin of +5.9 PPG.

Indiana’s most recent game was a 115-111 loss to the Nets. The O/U line for that game was 232.5, and the Pacers were favored by 7 points. This dropped their overall record to 43-34, which is 6th in the Eastern Conference.

This season, the Pacers have an O/U record of 38-39, and 62 of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s line of 234.5. On average, Indiana’s games have seen 243.1 points scored.

Indiana’s ATS record vs. the Eastern Conference is 29-19 and 11-5 against the Central Division. Today’s game is against the Thunder, who are 16th in the West with a record of 21-50.

The Pacers have been the best offensive team in the NBA this season, leading the league in points per game at 122.7. At home, they are averaging 124.9 points per game.

Indiana’s offensive success has come from their ability to get to the rim, as they lead the league in two-point field goal percentage at 58%. Overall, they are shooting 50% from the field, which is tops in the NBA.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Pacers are 10th in three-point percentage at 37%. They are also 12th in three-pointers made per game.

As they prepare for the upcoming game, the Pacers is focused on shoring up their defense, as they are currently allowing an average of 120.3 points per game (28th). When it comes to forced turnovers, the Pacers are forcing 12.3 per game, which is 13th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 8th in blocked shots at 5.9 per game.