Oklahoma City Thunder vs Atlanta Hawks Betting Pick & Prediction 2/28/25

At 7:30 ET, the Thunder (-713) will travel to Atlanta to take on the Hawks (+506). Oklahoma City is currently favored by 12.5 points, and the over/under line is set at 242 points. This non-conference matchup can be seen on FDSS.

With a record of 47-11, the Thunder are 1st in the Western Conference and 1st in the Northwest Division. The Hawks, who are 9th in the Eastern Conference and 3rd in the Southeast Division, are 27-32 on the season.

OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER VS ATLANTA HAWKS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Oklahoma City Thunder -12.5

This game will be played at State Farm Arena at 7:30 ET on Friday, February 28th.

WHY BET THE OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 131-106 in favor of the Thunder.
  • Our projections have Shai Gilgeous-Alexander finishing with 31 points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Thunder finishing with a field goal percentage of 48.0% and knocking down 15 threes.

Can Oklahoma City Live Up to the Hype on the Road?

With a 129-121 win over the Nets on Wednesday, the Thunder improved to 47-11 this season. Despite being favored by 16.5 points, they didn’t cover the spread. The game’s total of 250 points went well over the O/U line of 216.5.

Oklahoma City’s +8-point margin came after a big 4th quarter, where they outscored Brooklyn 39-25. An 18-0 run helped them pull away, turning a close game into a decisive victory.

In their win over the Nets, the Thunder shot 53.3% from the field, but struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 9 threes at a 30% clip. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the way with 27 points, shooting 63.6%, while Aaron Wiggins added 24 points, and Chet Holmgren contributed 22 points and 17 rebounds.

Jalen Williams also scored 22 points, with 13 coming in the 4th quarter. Holmgren added 9 points in the final period, while Gilgeous-Alexander and Wiggins each scored 8 points in the 3rd quarter.

Despite a rough start, allowing 40 points in the 1st quarter and 36 in the 2nd, the Thunder tightened up defensively in the 2nd half, giving up just 20 points in the 3rd and 25 in the 4th to secure the win. Overall, they allowed 121 points on 40% shooting from the Nets.

Oklahoma City struggled to defend the three, as Brooklyn hit 23 threes at a 37% clip. The Nets also went 22/25 from the free-throw line. The Thunder finished with 34 defensive rebounds, gave up 18 offensive boards, and recorded 10 steals and 4 blocks.

Can the Hawks Hold Strong at Home?

Atlanta’s season record dropped to 27-32 after a 131-109 road loss to the Heat on Wednesday. The Hawks, who were +3 point underdogs, failed to cover the spread. The game’s total points of 240.5 exceeded the over/under line of 229.5 by 10.5 points.

Miami’s 13-0 run, which took the score from 40-37 to 50-40, was a turning point. Atlanta kept it close, leading 65-64 at halftime, but the Heat pulled away in the 3rd quarter, outscoring the Hawks 42-28. Atlanta managed just 16 points in the 4th quarter.

In their 131-109 loss to the Heat, the Hawks shot 50.6% from the field, but made just 12 threes, hitting 37.5% from deep. Dyson Daniels led the way with 18 points, shooting 80% from the floor, while Trae Young and Caris LeVert each added 17 points, with LeVert knocking down 3 threes at 37.5%.

Daniels scored 7 of his points in the 2nd quarter, while Young added 8 in the 3rd. Terance Mann contributed 10 of his 13 points in the 2nd quarter, and Onyeka Okongwu also scored 6 of his 13 in the same period. Zaccharie Risacher chipped in 7 of his 11 points in the opening quarter.

The Hawks struggled defensively against the Heat, giving up 131 points on 59% shooting. Atlanta allowed 36 points in the 2nd quarter and 42 in the 3rd, with Miami hitting 23 threes at a 54% clip.

Atlanta sent Miami to the line 22 times, where they made 18 free throws. The Hawks finished with 24 defensive rebounds, 6 steals, and 3 blocks.