Northern Colorado Bears vs Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Betting Pick & Prediction 3/4/24

Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Bears and Lumberjacks. The game is starting at 8:00 ET on ESPN+, and it’s hosted by the Lumberjacks at J. Lawrence Walkup Skydome in Flagstaff, AZ. Get ready to place your bets! Northern Colorado is favored by -4 in this Big Sky conference matchup the against Northern Arizona. The over/under for the game is set at 155 points.

NORTHERN COLORADO BEARS VS NORTHERN ARIZONA LUMBERJACKS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks +4

This game will be played at J. Lawrence Walkup Skydome at 8:00 ET on Monday, March 4th.

WHY BET THE NORTHERN ARIZONA LUMBERJACKS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-68 in favor of the Lumberjacks.
• Not only will Northern Arizona pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +4.
• The over/under is currently sitting at 155 points, and we like the under with a projected 143 points.

Can the Bears Grab a Win on the Road?

After a two-point win over Idaho State, Northern Colorado is favored by four points against Northern Arizona. The Bears have an 18-12 record this season, including an 11-5 mark in Big Sky play.

So far, Northern Colorado has gone 7-7 on the road, and they have a scoring differential of -0.3 points per game. They have won two straight games on the road, and over their last 10 road games, they are 6-4.

When looking at Northern Colorado’s ATS record this season, they are currently 12-14-1. On the road, the Bears have gone 8-6 vs. the spread, and over their last 10 road games, they are 7-3. As the favorite, Northern Colorado is just 4-6 ATS in their last 10 games.

On the season, the over/under record for Northern Colorado games is 17-8-2 but in their last three games, the over/under record is 2-0-1. So far, 12 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line of 155. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 162 points.

In their latest game, Northern Colorado offense put up 81 points against Idaho State. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 60% and made 10 threes. Offensively, the Bears hold a season-long field goal percentage of 48%, placing them 36th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 60th in terms of percentage and 124th in three-pointers made.

Looking at the Northern Colorado defense, they will be looking for a better performance considering they are currently conceding 77.8 points per game (293rd). Northern Colorado’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the Idaho State offense to knock down 48% of their shots on their way to putting up 79 points.

Can Northern Arizona Pull Off a Home Win?

Despite being the underdog, Northern Arizona has played well at home this season, going 7-4 compared to 6-13 on the road. Their average scoring margin at home is +1.9, and over their last ten games at home, they are 6-4.

Overall, the Lumberjacks have gone 14-17 this season, including a 6-10 mark in Big Sky Conference play. They are coming off a loss to Weber State, 85-58, and have lost two straight games.

As the underdog, Northern Arizona has gone 10-12 against the spread this season and they are 13-17 overall. At home, the Lumberjacks have an ATS mark of 6-5 and they have gone 5-5 vs. the spread in their last 10 home games. In their last three games as the underdog, Northern Arizona has gone 2-1 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record for Northern Arizona games is 13-16-1. On average, their games have finished with 144.3 points per game. Today’s over/under line of 155 is higher than the average OU line in their games this year (144.5). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average of 161 points per game.

In their recent matchup, the Northern Arizona offense ended with 58 points against Weber State. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 31.5% and made 4 threes. Coming into the game, the Lumberjacks offense has strugled with their outside shot this season, hitting threes at a rate of just 31%. On average, they get up 20.1 three-point attempts per game and are averaging 12.7 made free-throws.

Coming into today’s game, the Northern Arizona defense is giving up an average of 76.7 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.5 threes per game vs. Northern Colorado. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 31.6%.