North Texas Mean Green vs Florida Atlantic Owls Betting Pick & Prediction 10/12/24
North Texas comes into this matchup as the -7-point favorite over Florida Atlantic, with the over/under line set at 59.5 points. The game is scheduled for 7:00 ET at FAU Stadium in Boca Raton and will be broadcast on ESPN2. North Texas is 4-1 on the season, while Florida Atlantic is 2-3. The money line odds are -260 for North Texas and +209 for Florida Atlantic.
NORTH TEXAS MEAN GREEN VS FLORIDA ATLANTIC OWLS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Florida Atlantic Owls +7
This game will be played at FAU Stadium at 7:00 ET on Saturday, October 12th.
WHY BET THE FLORIDA ATLANTIC OWLS:
- We have the North Texas Mean Green winning this one by a score of 29 to 23
- Even though we like the North Texas Mean Green to win, our ATS pick is to take the Florida Atlantic Owls at +7
- We see this game finishing below the line of 59.5 points
Will The North Texas Mean Green Win As Road Favorites?
North Texas heads into Week 7 against Florida Atlantic with a 4-1 record, ranked 90th in our power rankings. They have a 93% chance of becoming bowl-eligible this season. The Mean Green are 2-0 on the road and 1-1 at home so far.
North Texas is 3-1 against the spread, with a +8.6 average scoring margin. They are 2-0 ATS as the favorite and 1-1 as the underdog.
Their over/under record is 4-0, with their games averaging 73 points. The average over/under line is 63.4 points, and this week’s line is set at 59.5 points.
North Texas has leaned heavily on their passing game, ranking 8th nationally with 348.6 yards per game. They are 13th in passing completions, averaging 25.6 per game, and 18th in attempts. Overall, they are 13th in scoring, with 40.8 points per game, and we have them ranked 53rd in our offensive power rankings heading into week 7.
Chandler Morris has thrown for 1,643 yards, completing 65.8% of his passes, and has 16 touchdowns. His passer rating is 108. Leading receiver DT Sheffield has 317 yards and five touchdowns. North Texas is averaging 167.6 rushing yards per game.
North Texas’ defense is allowing 32.2 points per game this season, but they gave up just 20 points in their recent win against Tulsa. They held Tulsa to 268 total yards, including 109 passing yards.
Opponents have averaged 150 rushing yards per game against North Texas and 265.6 passing yards. Quarterbacks have completed 54.8% of their passes against the Mean Green defense.
Are The Florida Atlantic Owls Going Win In At Upset At FAU Stadium
Florida Atlantic enters Week 7 with a 2-3 record, hosting North Texas. They rank 99th in our CFB power rankings but have a 56.8% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. At home, the Owls are 1-1 this season.
FAU has been favored in two of their five games, going 1-1 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is -1.6 points per game, and they are 2-2 against the spread this season.
This week’s over/under line is 59.5 points. FAU’s games have averaged 45.6 points, with an average over/under line of 44 points. Their over/under record stands at 2-2.
Florida Atlantic’s offense has struggled this season, ranking 117th in our offensive power rankings and averaging 22 points per game, placing them 77th in the country. Their third-down conversion rate is just 25.4%, which ranks 116th nationally. Quarterback Cam Fancher has thrown for 707 yards with a passer rating of 65, recording two touchdowns and five interceptions.
The Owls are 117th in passing yards per game, averaging 162.8 yards. Fancher has completed 60% of his passes. Leading receiver Omari Hayes has 282 yards and one touchdown. Florida Atlantic’s strength is their run game, averaging 182.2 rushing yards per game. CJ Campbell Jr. leads the team with 308 rushing yards and five touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry.
Florida Atlantic’s defense is coming off a strong performance, allowing just 10 points and 133 total yards in their recent game against Wagner. They held Wagner to 21 rushing yards on 25 attempts and 112 passing yards, while forcing 11 completions on 32 attempts.
On the season, FAU’s defense ranks 9th nationally in passing yards allowed, giving up just 134.4 yards per game. Opposing quarterbacks have completed only 45.6% of their passes, the 3rd-lowest rate in the country. However, FAU has struggled against the run, allowing 225.2 rushing yards per game, ranking 166th nationally.