North Carolina Tar Heels vs Florida State Seminoles Betting Pick & Prediction 1/27/24
Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Tar Heels and Seminoles. The game is starting at 2:00 ET on ESPN, and it’s hosted by the Seminoles at Donald L. Tucker Center in Tallahassee, FL. Get ready to place your bets! North Carolina is favored by -6.5 in this Atlantic Coast conference matchup the against Florida State. The over/under for the game is set at 153.5 points.
NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS VS FLORIDA STATE SEMINOLES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Florida State Seminoles +6.5
This game will be played at Donald L. Tucker Center at 2:00 ET on Saturday, January 27th.
WHY BET THE FLORIDA STATE SEMINOLES:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-68 in favor of the Seminoles.
- Not only will Florida State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +6.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 153.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 142 points.
Will the North Carolina Defense Show Up on the Road?
North Carolina is 16-3 overall and 8-0 in Atlantic Coast Conference play. The Tar Heels have won nine straight games and are 15-2 when favored this season.
On the road, North Carolina is 5-2 this season with an average scoring margin of +6.1 points per game. The Tar Heels have won their last five road games and are 7-3 in their last 10.
North Carolina has an ATS record of 12-7 this season and they are 11-6 vs. the spread when favored. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Tar Heels have gone 7-3 vs. the spread.
Today’s over/under line of 153.5 is similar to the average over/under line in North Carolina games this season (153.7). So far, 10 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line, including two of their last three. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 148 points compared to their season average of 152.6.
The North Carolina offense is coming off a game in which they scored 85 points vs. Wake Forest. Overall their field goal percentage was 52.5% while connecting on 5 threes. The team’s top scorer is RJ Davis, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 21, while Armando Bacot also carries a PPG average of 14.1 into the game.
The Tar Heels’ defense is presently ranked 95th nationally, allowing an average of 69.1 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.6 threes per game vs. Florida State. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 27.6%.
Can the Seminoles Pull Off a Home Win?
Florida State enters this game as a 6.5-point underdog, and they are 5-3 when they are the underdog this season. At home, the Seminoles are 8-4 this season, and their average scoring margin at home is +6.2 points per game.
Over their last 10 games at home, Florida State has gone 6-4, and they are coming off an 85-69 win over Syracuse. So far this season, they have gone 12-7, including a 6-2 mark in Atlantic Coast Conference games.
As the underdog, Florida State has a solid ATS mark of 6-2 this season. They are 11-7-1 overall vs. the spread in 2019-20. At home, the Seminoles have gone 6-5-1 vs. the spread this year and their last 10 ATS mark as the underdog is 7-3. In their last 5 games as the underdog, FSU is 4-1 vs. the spread.
Florida State’s over/under record for the season currently sits at 11-7-1, and today’s over/under line of 153.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this season (150.7). So far, 10 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line, including two of their last three matchups. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1.
Florida State finished with 85 points in their game against Syracuse. This total surpasses their season-average of 77 points per game. Jamir Watkins was the leading scorer for the Seminoles, putting up 27 points. In addition, Amir Spears contributed 13 points.
At present, the Seminoles’ defense is nationally ranked 194th, allowing 73.3 points per game. In today’s game vs. North Carolina, the Florida State defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Florida State made 22 free-throws vs. the Seminoles.