North Carolina State Wolfpack vs North Carolina Tar Heels Betting Pick & Prediction 3/16/24
Planning on watching today’s Wolfpack and Tar Heels game? Catch the action at Capital One Arena in Washington, DC, as the Tar Heels hosts this showdown at 8:30 ET on ESPN. The odds for this Atlantic Coast conference game currently have North Carolina as the -9 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 145.5 points.
NORTH CAROLINA STATE WOLFPACK VS NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS BETTING PICK
The Pick: North Carolina State Wolfpack +9
This game will be played at Capital One Arena at 8:30 ET on Saturday, March 16th.
WHY BET THE NORTH CAROLINA STATE WOLFPACK:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Tar Heels.
- Even though we have North Carolina winning straight-up, we like North Carolina State at +9.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 145.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.
Can the Wolfpack Pull Off a Win at Washington?
North Carolina State heads into this game as a +9 underdog. They have gone 4-11 this season when listed as the underdog, and they are 17-14 overall. In their last game, they beat Duke by a score of 74-69.
On the road this season, the Wolfpack are 7-9, and they have won their last two games. Over their last 10 games away from home, they have gone 4-6.
North Carolina State has been solid against the spread this season, going 15-17-1. Their road ATS mark is 7-8-1, and they have gone 3-0 vs. the spread in their last three road games. As the underdog, the Wolfpack have gone 7-7-1 vs. the spread this season and are 6-4 in their last 10 games as the underdog.
North Carolina State’s over/under record for the season sits at 18-14-1 and today’s line of 145.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year (147.3). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total in those games is 142 points.
In their previous game, the Wolfpack’s offense finished with 74 points, which is right in line with their current average of 76.1 points per contest. DJ Horne was the leading scorer for the Wolfpack, putting up 18 points. In addition, Mohamed Diarra contributed 14 points.
The Wolfpack’s defense is presently ranked 175th nationally, allowing an average of 72.0 points per contest. In their previous game vs. Duke, the Blue Devils finished with a field goal percentage of 43% and a total of 69 points vs. North Carolina State.
Can the Tar Heels Live Up to the Hype at Home?
North Carolina State will be looking to end North Carolina’s nine-game winning streak when the two teams meet up on Wednesday. The Tar Heels are 25-6 overall, including a 19-2 record at home.
North Carolina has been favored in all 31 of its games this season, going 26-5 in those contests. The Tar Heels’ average scoring margin at home is +16.0 points per game.
North Carolina has an overall ATS record of 19-15 this season. At home, they are 11-10 vs. the spread. In their last 10 games as the favorite, the Tar Heels have gone 4-6 vs. the spread. Over their last 3 home games, they are 2-1 ATS.
So far this season, the over/under record in North Carolina’s games is 16-18. Today’s over/under line of 145.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year (152.5). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 152 points.
Coming off their recent game, the North Carolina offense tallied 72 points in a matchup against Pittsburgh. Their field goal percentage for the game was 43.3%, and they made 6 threes. The North Carolina offense has been looking to get up shots from outside so far this season, averaging 22.2 three-point attempts per contest. Overall, they have connected on 35% of their looks from outside this season.
Coming into today’s game, the North Carolina defense is giving up an average of 69.7 points per contest. So far, the North Carolina defense is giving up an average of 7.6 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 9.9 times per game (414th).