New York Rangers vs Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Pick & Prediction 3/2/24

Looking to win big? The Rangers and Maple Leafs face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Maple Leafs are hosting the game at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON. The over/under goal line for this matchup is currently at 6.5 goals, and the Maple Leafs are -1.5 goal favorite to win at home against the Rangers.

NEW YORK RANGERS VS TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5

This game will be played at Scotiabank Arena at 7:00 ET on Saturday, March 2nd.

WHY BET THE TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS:

• Even though they are considered 1.5-goal underdogs, our projection points to a 4-3 win for the Rangers.
• We like the Rangers on the moneyline (+101)
• The Rangers are also our pick on the spread at +1.5

Will New York Pull Through as the Underdog Road Team?

As the third-place team in the Eastern Conference, the Rangers have a record of 40-17-3 and have won nine of their last ten games. In the Metropolitan Division, New York is in first place, and they have gone 11-5 against divisional opponents this season.

On the road, the Rangers have a record of 19-10-3, and they have won three straight games as the underdog. When playing against other teams from the Eastern Conference, New York has gone 22-10 this season.

On the road this season, the Rangers have a puck line record of 16-16 and an average scoring margin of +.5 goals per game. Overall, New York has a puck line record of 30-30.

So far, the Rangers have been the underdog in 11 games, and their puck line record as the underdog is 11-1. In their last ten games, the Rangers’ puck line record is 6-4.

This season, New York’s games have an average of 6.1 goals per game. The average over/under number for the season is 6.1. The Rangers come in with an over/under performance of 29-28-3.

Through their last three road games, New York has an puck line record of just 1-2. However, their overall record was 2-1 while averaging 3 goals per game.

When looking at their offense, the Rangers have an average of 3.3 goals per game this season, positioning themselves 10th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are ranked 14th in the league. So far this year, the Rangers are 24-11 in games they have had more shots on goal than their opponent. They are 16-5 in games with fewer shots on goal.

New York’s leading scorer is Artemi Panarin. So far, he has 35 goals which is 7th in the NHL. In addition to his goal scoring, Panarin has 47 assists this season.

The Maple Leafs defense is currently 24th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 29.6 shots per game against Toronto. In terms of shutouts, they come into the game ranked 5th with 4 shutouts.

Goalie Igor Shesterkin comes into the game having made 39 starts this season. So far, his record is 26-12 and he has a save percentage of 0.907%.

Can the Maple Leafs Pull Off a Home Win?

At home this season, the Maple Leafs have gone 16-11-2 and are 29-13-7 when favored. In the Eastern Conference, Toronto is in 5th place.

Over their last ten games, the Maple Leafs have gone 8-2. In their last five games, they have gone 4-1, and over their last three games, they have gone 2-1.

On the season, the Maple Leafs have gone 22-37 against the puck line, including going 10-19 at home. So far, they have 19 wins by multiple goals compared to 15 wins by just one goal.

At home, Toronto has gone just 3-7 against the puck line in their last ten games and 3-2 against the puck line in their last five. In their last three games at home, the Maple Leafs have gone 2-1 against the puck line.

For the season, the average number of goals per game in matchups featuring Toronto is 6.9. The season’s average over/under line is currently at 6.5. The Maple Leafs come in with an over/under record of 32-25-2.

Through their last three road contests, the Rangers offense has averaged 3 goals per game while allowing an average of 2. New York posted an overall record of 2-1 while going 1-2 ATS.

On the offensive side, the Maple Leafs are scoring an 3.7 goals per game this season, ranking 4th in the NHL. When it came to shots on target per game, they are 6th in the league. Toronto’s offense comes into the game ranked 6th in power play goals. And in terms of shorthanded goals, they are 13th in the NHL.

Toronto’s leading goal scorer is Auston Matthews. So far this season, he has 53 goals, placing him 1st in the NHL. Along with his scoring, he has come up with 25 assists so far.

Toronto defense takes on the Rangers ranked 24th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are averaging 29.6 shots per game against Toronto. They also are 5th in shutouts, with 4 shutouts.

Goalie Ilya Samsonov comes into the game having made 27 starts this season. So far, his record is 14-5 and he has a save percentage of 0.617%.