New York Mets vs Toronto Blue Jays Betting Pick & Prediction 9/11/24

Wednesday’s interleague matchup between the Mets and Blue Jays is set for 3:07 PM ET from the Rogers Centre in Toronto. The Mets are 79-66 this season and are 2nd in the NL East, while the Blue Jays are 69-77 and 5th in the AL East.

New York comes into the game as the slight money line favorite, with the odds sitting at -124 compared to the Blue Jays at +105. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and the game can be seen on MLBN.

TORONTO BLUE JAYS VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Toronto Blue Jays Moneyline +105

This game will be played at Rogers Centre at 3:07 ET on Wednesday, September 11th.

HOW TO BET THE METS VS BLUE JAYS:

• We have the Blue Jays winning by a score of 6 to 5
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Blue Jays to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Toronto picked up a 6-2 win over the Mets in the most recent game of this series. The Blue Jays had a huge 3rd inning, scoring four of their six runs. As for the Mets, they scored their only two runs in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Blue Jays were the slight underdogs at +109.

Chris Bassitt got the win for the Blue Jays, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but issued one walk. David Peterson struggled on the mound for the Mets, giving up four earned runs in just 4 1/3 innings of work.

Toronto’s offense was led by Ernie Clement, Spencer Horwitz, and Joey Loperfido, as they were the only three Blue Jays hitters to have more than one hit. Clement scored three times and stole a base. Both Horwitz and Loperfido each drove in a run.

Mets Records & Stats

The Mets are 79-66 overall and trail the Phillies by eight games for the NL East lead. New York is 22-17 against other teams in the NL East. The Mets are on a four-series winning streak, and they are 25-16-8 in series this year. This season, the Mets have been good as the favorite, going 52-37, and they are 19-14 as the favorite on the road.

At home, the Mets are 40-34 this year and 39-32 on the road. New York has been playing well lately, going 8-2 over their last 10 games. So far, they have been good in the month of September.

When the Mets are on the road, they have been a solid bet to cover the run line, going 39-32. They have an average run differential of +0.4 runs per game on the road, and their average run differential in all games is also +0.4 runs per game. They have gone 33-23 against the run line as an underdog, but just 39-50 as a favorite.

The Mets have played a high-scoring brand of baseball this season, with their games averaging 9.1 runs per contest. They have a 71-69 over/under record on the year, and when the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, they have gone over the total 14 times, under 8 times, and pushed once. Overall, 54.5% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs.

Sean Manaea is starting for the Mets today and comes into the game with a record of 11-5 and an ERA of 3.43. So far this year, he has made 28 starts, and opponents are batting .198 off the left-hander. Manaea has made 12 quality starts this year and is averaging 9.32 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in 6 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.

Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been the Mets’ top power threats this season, as Lindor has 30 home runs and Alonso has 31. Lindor is also leading the team with 84 RBIs, while Alonso is 2nd with 79 RBIs. Lindor is batting .269 for the season, and Alonso is hitting .239. Over his last seven games, Mark Vientos has three homers but is batting just .231.

As a team, the Mets are 9th in the league in scoring at 4.7 runs per game. They have been a little better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, they are 6th in the league in home runs and have the 8th best team slugging percentage in the league.

Blue Jays Records & Stats

Toronto is 5th in the AL East, trailing the Yankees by 14.5 games for the division lead. Overall, the Blue Jays are 69-77 as they get set to host the Mets today. They are 20-26 against other AL East teams this year.

So far, the Blue Jays have gone 35-36 at home compared to 34-41 on the road. Toronto has dropped three straight series and their overall series record is 16-24-6 this year. The Blue Jays are just 3-7 over their last ten games and lost the series opener vs. the Mets.

When the Blue Jays win, they do so by an average of 3.3 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.6 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 75-71, with a run line record of 27-44 at home and 48-27 on the road. They have covered the run line in their last two home games and in four straight as the underdog.

Today’s over/under line for the Toronto Blue Jays’ game against the New York Mets is set at 8 runs. The Blue Jays have played 142 games this season, and the average combined run total in those games is 8.8. Toronto’s over/under record for the season is 75-67, and when the line is set at 8 runs, the Blue Jays have gone 23-14-2. Overall, 71 of Toronto’s games this season have had over/under lines set at more than 8 runs, which is 48.6% of their games.

Right-hander Bowden Francis is starting for the Blue Jays today and comes into the game with a record of 8-4 and an ERA of 3.72. In his 10 starts, he has pitched well, turning in five quality starts and averaging 8.61 strikeouts per nine innings. Francis most recently faced the Phillies, where he took the loss, going six innings and giving up three earned runs. Before that outing, he had won three straight starts. So far, he has been much better on the road, with an ERA of 3.91 compared to 5.39 at home.

For the season, the Blue Jays are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. This season, they are batting .242, which is 11th in the league. As a team, they are 20th in home runs. Toronto’s offense is led by Vladimir Guerrero Jr., who is batting .321 with 28 homers and 94 RBIs. Guerrero Jr. is 10th in the league in RBIs.

George Springer is 2nd on the Blue Jays with 19 home runs but is hitting just .221 for the season. However, he has gone deep three times in his last five games. Spencer Horwitz has also been hot of late, going 9/15 in his last five games with three homers.