New York Mets vs Texas Rangers Betting Pick & Prediction 6/18/24
From Globe Life Field in Arlington, we have an interleague matchup between the Mets and Rangers. The Mets are on a six-game winning streak and have a record of 34-37, while the Rangers have lost four straight and are 3rd in the AL West with a record of 33-39.
SNY will be televising Tuesday’s matchup at 8:05 PM ET. The money line odds have the Mets at -109 compared to the Rangers at -108. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and Michael Lorenzen will be starting for the Rangers, while the Mets are sending Luis Severino to the mound.
TEXAS RANGERS VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Texas Rangers Moneyline -108
This game will be played at Globe Life Field at 8:05 ET on Tuesday, June 18th.
HOW TO BET THE METS VS RANGERS:
- We have the Rangers winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Rangers to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Thanks to a six-run 2nd inning for the Mets’ offense, they cruised to a 14-2 win over the Rangers in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Mets were at +116 on the money line.
New York got to Rangers starter Jon Gray, who gave up nine earned runs in just three innings of work and took the loss. David Peterson put together a good outing for the Mets, getting the win after going six innings and giving up two earned runs.
At the plate, the Mets were led by Brandon Nimmo and Francisco Lindor, who each had three hits and two RBIs. Pete Alonso also drove in two runs while going 3/5.
Mets Records & Stats
New York is 34-37 overall and 13.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. The Mets have won six straight games, and they are 8-2 in their last 10 games overall. This season, they have gone 11-10 in divisional games.
At home, the Mets are 18-23 this season, and they are 16-14 on the road. New York’s road win streak is at five straight games, and they are 5-4 as the road favorite this season. The Mets’ overall series record is 10-12-3, and they have won three straight series overall and two straight on the road. So far, they have gone 19-17 as the favorite and 15-20 as the underdog.
When the Mets are on the road, they have been a good bet on the run line, going 19-11. Their average run margin in those games is 0.5. Overall, they are 33-38 on the run line this season, and they have covered in five straight games.
With a combined run average of 9.3, the New York Mets have seen their fair share of high-scoring games this season. Their over/under record is 36-33, and when the line is set at 8 runs, they are 7-4. Today’s line is set at 8 runs, and the over has hit in their last two games.
Luis Severino gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Rangers on the road. So far this season, he has made 13 starts and has a record of 4-2 with an ERA of 3.12. Opposing batters are hitting .211 this season off Severino, and he has a total of six quality starts. In his last outing, Severino finished with a no-decision, going six innings and giving up one earned run on seven hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. The right-hander has done most of his work at home, coming in with a record of 3-1 and an ERA of 2.68 compared to 1-1 with a 4.28 ERA on the road.
On the season, the Mets are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. At home, they are averaging 3.8 runs per game (27th) and 5.8 runs per game on the road, which is the best mark in the MLB. Overall, they are 8th in home runs and have the league’s 9th best team batting average.
J.D. Martinez has been on a tear of late, going 10/24 in his last seven games with three homers and nine RBIs. He also has a six-game hitting streak heading into today’s game. Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo are the team’s top power hitters, with Alonso leading the team with 15 homers and Nimmo at 8. Alonso also leads the Mets with 39 RBIs, and Nimmo is right behind him in that category.
Rangers Records & Stats
Texas is 33-39 overall, and they are nine games behind the Mariners for the AL West lead. The Rangers have dropped four straight games heading into today’s matchup vs. the Mets. Their losing streak includes dropping the series opener vs. the Mets.
So far, the Rangers are 9-14 against other AL West teams. At home, the Rangers are 16-18 this year and 17-21 on the road. As the underdog, Texas is 13-20 this year and 2-5 as the home underdog. They have dropped three straight games as the underdog.
When the Rangers win, they win big. Their average run margin in wins is 4.0, but they are still just 31-41 against the run line on the season. They have been a better bet on the road, going 17-21 against the run line, compared to 14-20 at home. They have failed to cover the run line in their last two games as the favorite, and are just 14-25 against the run line in those games this season.
The Texas Rangers are playing host to the New York Mets today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The Rangers have played in games with an average of 8.6 runs scored per game this season, and their over/under record is 27-43. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 3-6-1. Overall, 70.8% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs.
Michael Lorenzen is coming off a strong outing in which he faced the Dodgers on the road. In that start, he went seven innings, picking up the win and giving up just one earned run. Looking at his overall numbers, Lorenzen has made 11 starts and has a record of 4-3. His ERA for the season is an impressive 2.86, along with a WHIP of 1.18. Opposing batters are hitting .211 off Lorenzen this year. The right-hander has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 6.41 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, Lorenzen has allowed eight home runs and is averaging 3.95 walks per nine innings.
Corey Seager and Adolis Garcia have been the Rangers’ top power threats this season, as Seager’s 14 homers are the best on the team and Garcia is right behind him with 13. Seager is batting .260 for the season but has gone just 2/17 in his last five games. Garcia is also struggling a bit right now, with a season-long batting average of just .213. Marcus Semien has been a solid run producer for the Rangers, as he is 3rd in the league with 40 RBIs and has 11 homers.
As a team, the Rangers are averaging 4.2 runs per game and are batting a collective .237. They have been a bit better on the road, averaging 4.5 runs per contest. Texas comes into the game with a team OPS of just .675, which is 20th in the league.