New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Pick & Prediction 8/27/24
Both the Mets and Diamondbacks will be looking to pick up a win in this NL matchup, as the Mets are 3rd in the NL East with an overall record of 68-63, while the Diamondbacks are 2nd in the NL West at 75-56. Arizona will be looking to extend their six-game winning streak, and they are the slight money line favorite (-115).
SNY will be televising this one, and first pitch from Chase Field is set for 9:40 PM ET. The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs, and Tuesday’s starting pitching matchup features Sean Manaea for the Mets and Eduardo Rodriguez for the Diamondbacks.
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks Moneyline -115
This game will be played at Chase Field at 9:40 ET on Tuesday, August 27th.
HOW TO BET THE METS VS DIAMONDBACKS:
- We have the Diamondbacks winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Diamondbacks to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Mets Records & Stats
The Mets will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Padres with a 3-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 7th inning before the Padres scored two runs in the bottom of the 8th. New York was the +102 underdog on the money line going into the game.
José Quintana put together a good start for the Mets, going 6 1/3 innings, and didn’t give up a run. However, the Mets couldn’t close things out, and Edwin Díaz took the loss out of the bullpen. J.D. Martinez had a big game at the plate, going 2/4 with a homer and scoring twice.
The Mets are 68-63 overall, putting them 3rd in the NL East, nine games behind the Phillies for the division lead. New York will be on the road for today’s game vs. the Diamondbacks, and they are 33-30 on the road this season. They have gone 22-17 against other teams in the NL East.
As the favorite, the Mets are 43-35 this year and 25-28 as the underdog. They split their most recent series with the Padres and are 6-4 across their last 10 games. New York’s overall series record is 21-16-8 this year.
Despite being a sub-.500 team on the run line overall, the Mets have been a solid bet away from home, going 34-29 on the run line. Their average run margin on the road is +0.3 runs per game, and they have covered the run line in two straight games.
When the Mets play, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, and their games have averaged 9.3 runs per game. Overall, the over/under record in Mets games is 66-61, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, the over/under record is 24-17. In 32 of their games, the over/under line has been set higher than 8.5 runs, which accounts for 24.4% of their games. In 58 games, the line has been set lower than 8.5 runs, which accounts for 44.3% of their games.
Left-hander Sean Manaea gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Diamondbacks on the road. He has made 25 starts this season and has a record of 9-5 with a 3.48 ERA. Manaea’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.17. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going seven innings and giving up three earned runs on three homers. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Manaea has a total of 10 quality starts this season and is averaging 9.07 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has given up 14 homers and is averaging 3.42 walks per nine innings.
Francisco Lindor has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 11/34 in his last eight games, including three home runs and seven RBIs. For the season, he is batting .269 with a team-leading 27 home runs and 78 RBIs. Lindor is also on a six-game hitting streak. Pete Alonso is also tied for the team lead with 27 homers and is 3rd on the team with 71 RBIs.
As a team, the Mets are 5th in home runs and are averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are 9th in team batting average and have the league’s 9th ranked scoring offense.
Diamondbacks Records & Stats
Heading into their last game vs. the Red Sox, the Diamondbacks closed out the series with a 7-5 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at +109 on the money line. It was a big 3rd inning for the Diamondbacks, as they scored three runs in the inning. Arizona’s offense was carried by Eugenio Suarez, who went 4/4 with a homer and three RBIs.
Merrill Kelly got the start for the Diamondbacks, going six innings and giving up four runs on seven hits. He only had three strikeouts in the outing and took the win.
Arizona is hosting the Mets today with an overall record of 75-56, which has them three games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. The Diamondbacks have won six straight games, and they closed out their series vs. the Red Sox with three straight wins. So far, they are 22-14 in divisional games.
At home, the Diamondbacks are 37-26 this season and 38-30 on the road. Arizona has won six straight games at home. As the underdog, the Diamondbacks have won seven straight, and they are 34-32 as the underdog overall. Arizona has been good as the favorite, going 41-24 this year.
Arizona is 29-34 against the run line at home this season, but 40-28 on the run line on the road. The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in seven straight games as the underdog, and are 42-24 on the run line this season as the underdog. Their average run margin in winning games is +4.1, and -3.8 in losing games.
The Diamondbacks have had a high-scoring season, with a combined run average of 10.0 runs per game. Their over/under record is 72-52, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, they are 27-17. Overall, 50 of their games have had lines set at 8.5 runs or higher, which is 38.2% of their games.
Eduardo Rodriguez is getting the start for the Diamondbacks at home against the Mets. He has picked up a win in each of his first two starts of the season, going 5 1/3 innings in his last outing, allowing just 1 earned run. Rodriguez has 10 strikeouts in 10 1/3 innings pitched so far this season.
Arizona comes into today’s game as the best scoring team in the league, averaging 5.4 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.5 runs per contest. The Diamondbacks have been one of the top home run-hitting teams in the league and are also batting .261 as a team, which is the 2nd best mark in the MLB.
Over the team’s last five games, Eugenio Suarez and Geraldo Perdomo have both gone deep twice, with Suarez batting .381 and Perdomo hitting .368. For the season, Ketel Marte and Christian Walker are the team’s top home run hitters, with Marte leading the league in RBIs (81) and Walker is 3rd on the team with 71 RBIs.