New York Knicks vs Miami Heat Betting Pick & Prediction 3/2/25

At 6:00 ET, the Miami Heat (28-30) will host the New York Knicks (39-20) in an Eastern Conference matchup. The Knicks are currently favored by 5.5 points and have a moneyline of -216.

This game will be played at the Kaseya Center in Miami and can be seen on FDSS. The over/under line for the game is currently set at 222.5 points.

NEW YORK KNICKS VS MIAMI HEAT BETTING PICK

The Pick: Miami Heat +5.5

This game will be played at Kaseya Center at 6:00 ET on Sunday, March 2nd.

WHY BET THE MIAMI HEAT:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 133-131 in favor of the Knicks.
  • Our projections have Jalen Brunson finishing with 27 points, 3 rebounds and 7 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Knicks finishing with a field goal percentage of 48.1% and knocking down 14 threes.

Do the Knicks Have a Shot at a Road Win?

The Knicks improved to 39-20 on the season with a narrow 114-113 road win over the Grizzlies on Friday. New York entered the game as +2.5 point underdogs and not only pulled off the upset but also covered the spread. The total points for the game ended at 227, falling short of the 245-point O/U line.

New York fell behind early, trailing 32-25 after the 1st quarter. They bounced back in the 2nd, outscoring Memphis 31-27, but still trailed 88-82 going into the 4th. The Knicks turned things around in the final quarter, outscoring the Grizzlies 32-25 to secure the win.

Jalen Brunson led the Knicks with 23 points and 7 rebounds in their win over the Grizzlies, shooting 43.5% from the field and hitting 2 threes at 33.3%. OG Anunoby added 19 points, connecting on 4 threes at 40%, while Miles McBride contributed 17 points, making 3 threes at 60% efficiency.

As a team, the Knicks shot 46.3% from the field and 34.2% from beyond the arc, making 13 threes. Brunson scored 7 points in both the 2nd and 4th quarters, while Anunoby added 6 points in each of the final two periods. McBride also chipped in 5 points in the 4th quarter.

Even with a tough start, giving up 32 points in the 1st quarter, the Knicks tightened up defensively in the 4th, allowing just 25 points to help secure the win over the Grizzlies. Overall, New York gave up 113 points on 46% shooting from the field.

The Knicks were excellent at defending the three, holding Memphis to just 4 made threes on 12% shooting. They also recorded 10 steals and 7 blocks in the game.

No Pressure for Miami as Home Dogs

The Heat improved to 28-30 on the season with a 125-120 win over the Pacers on Friday. Miami, who were +3 point underdogs, covered the spread with the win. The total points of 245 exceeded the O/U line of 223.5 by 21.5 points.

Miami went on an 11-0 run, turning a 67-58 deficit into a 69-67 lead. They outscored the Pacers 39-34 in the 2nd quarter and 29-23 in the 3rd, entering the 4th with a 97-92 lead. Both teams scored 28 points in the final quarter.

The Heat shot 57.1% from the field and connected on 17 threes at a 53.1% rate in their win over the Pacers. Tyler Herro led the way with 29 points, while Duncan Robinson added 20, hitting 4 threes at 66.7% efficiency.

Herro scored 10 points in the 1st quarter, and Robinson added 10 in the 4th. Alec Burks also contributed 8 of his 13 points in the 3rd quarter.

Despite giving up 120 points, the Heat managed to secure a win over the Pacers on Friday. Miami allowed 35 points in the 1st quarter and 34 in the 2nd, but tightened up in the 3rd, giving up just 23 points. They allowed 28 points in the 4th.

The Heat struggled to contain Indiana’s shooting, as the Pacers hit 53% from the field and made 21 threes at a 53% clip. Miami sent Indiana to the line just 8 times, where they made 5 free throws. The Heat recorded 27 defensive rebounds, gave up 9 offensive boards, and added 7 steals and 4 blocks.