New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons Betting Pick & Prediction for 1/4
This article was published on Dec 31, 2025. Today’s picks NFL picks

The New Orleans Saints travel to face the Atlanta Falcons in Week 18 of the 2025 NFL season. The game will take place at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta. Kickoff is set for Sunday, January 4, 2026, at 1:00 PM and will be broadcast on FOX.
The Saints, led by head coach Kellen Moore, have a 6-10 record this season. They have matched their home and road records at 3-5. Meanwhile, the Falcons have a 7-9 record under head coach Raheem Morris. They are slightly better on the road with a 4-5 record, compared to 3-4 at home. The Falcons are favored by 3.5 points in this matchup.
New Orleans Saints Team Preview
The New Orleans Saints have been on a strong run in their recent games. They secured a win against the Tennessee Titans with a score of 34-26. The Saints’ offense gained 320 passing yards, with Tyler Shough leading the way. He completed 22 passes for 333 yards and 2 touchdowns. Chris Olave was a key player, catching 8 passes for 119 yards and a touchdown.
Looking at the Saints’ performance in the season, their offense has been effective. They rank 23rd in both total score and passing yards. Despite these rankings, their rushing game stands out, ranking 14th in the league. Their defense, on the other hand, ranks 18th in opponent score and 30th in opponent offensive yards. This suggests that while their offense is solid, their defense has areas for improvement.
The Saints are facing several injuries as they head into Week 18. Key players like Alvin Kamara and Cesar Ruiz are questionable, which may affect their performance. The team also has multiple players on the injured reserve list, including Devin Neal and Foster Moreau, who will miss the rest of the season. These injuries could impact the Saints’ depth and strategy in the upcoming game.
Saints vs Falcons Game Day Info
- Sport: NFL
- Teams: New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons
- Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA
- Date: Sunday, January 4, 2026
- Betting Odds: Saints Moneyline +148, Falcons Moneyline -177, Saints Spread +3.5 (-119), Falcons Spread -3.5 (-102), Total Over 43.5 (-113), Total Under 43.5 (-108)
Atlanta Falcons Team Preview
The Atlanta Falcons are coming off a strong win against the Los Angeles Rams, with a score of 27-24. Bijan Robinson led the rushing attack with 195 yards and one touchdown. On defense, Xavier Watts made two interceptions, helping to seal the victory.
In their recent games, the Falcons have shown a balanced attack. Against the Arizona Cardinals, they recorded 190 passing yards and 152 rushing yards in a 26-19 win. Kirk Cousins threw two touchdowns, while Bijan Robinson contributed with both rushing and receiving yards.
The Falcons have faced challenges with injuries this season. Key players like Michael Penix Jr. and Troy Andersen are out for the season. Despite these setbacks, the team continues to find ways to win, led by the efforts of Kirk Cousins and Bijan Robinson.
BTB Betting Pick
The Falcons are favored by 3.5 points against the Saints. The Saints have struggled offensively, ranking 23rd in scoring. Meanwhile, the Falcons rank 13th in scoring, which could help them cover the spread. Taking the Falcons -3.5 is a solid pick.
The total for the game is set at 43.5 points. The Saints’ defense has allowed an opponent score of 398, while the Falcons’ defense has given up 423 points. With both defenses ranking in the bottom half, the over 43.5 seems like a reasonable choice.