New Orleans Privateers vs Central Arkansas Bears Betting Pick & Prediction 11/26/23

Looking to win big? The Privateers and Bears face off at 3:45 ET on ESPN+. The Bears are hosting the game at Farris Center in Conway, AR. In this non-conference matchup, the Privateers are the betting favorite against the Bears. The over/under for the game is 153 points.
NEW ORLEANS PRIVATEERS VS CENTRAL ARKANSAS BEARS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Central Arkansas Bears +4
This game will be played at Farris Center at 3:45 ET on Sunday, November 26th.
WHY BET THE CENTRAL ARKANSAS BEARS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-68 in favor of the Bears.
- Not only will Central Arkansas pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +4.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 153 points, and we like the under with a projected 143 points.
Can the Privateers Deliver Being Favored on the Road?
As of today, the Privateers have a 0-2 record, coming off a recent loss to Oklahoma State (96-68). In their last three road games, including those from last year, New Orleans has gone 0-3. As of today’s game, New Orleans has a 0-2 record against the spread. In the previous three games, the school holds a 2-1 ATS record, with an average scoring margin of +7.
Up to this point, games involving New Orleans have had an average of 153.5 points per game, with the average over/under line set at 148.5 points. Their over/under record is 1-1-0. Over the course of the last five games, the Privateers’ games have averaged 82 points per game, along with an over/under record of 1-2.
Compared to their season average of 82.6 points per game, New Orleans struggled in their previous game. Against Oklahoma State, the Privateers scored 68 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 41.8%. The team’s top scorer is Jordan Johnson, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 22.2, while Khaleb Wilson-Rouse also carries a PPG average of 8 into the game.
The Privateers’ defense is presently ranked 160th nationally, allowing an average of 75.8 points per contest. So far, the New Orleans defense is giving up an average of 11.4 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 12 times per game (379th).
Does Central Arkansas Stand a Chance at Home?
Heading into their 7th game of the season, Central Arkansas currently has a record of 0-6. Looking back at their last three home games, which includes one from last year, Central Arkansas is 0-3. Central Arkansas has yet to cover the spread this season, sitting at 0-6. However, in their last five games, they have a slightly better ATS record of 1-2-1.
Through six games, Central Arkansas has an over/under record of 2-4-0 with their games averaging a combined 146 points per game so far. When assessing the Bears’ performance in their last three games, their over/under record stands at 1-1, with their games averaging 78 points per game.
The Bears’ offense wrapped up their last game with 71 points, aligning closely with their current season average of 69.1 points per contest. On offense, Central Arkansas has been struggling with their efficiency, coming into today’s game with a field goal percentgage of 39%. So far, they are 245th in free-throws made on a free throw shooting percentage of 66%.
In terms of defense, Central Arkansas is currently on par with the NCAA average for points allowed, giving up an average of 73.3 points per game. The Central Arkansas defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 74 points and allowed Eastern Michigan to connect on 8 threes.