New Mexico State Aggies vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks Betting Pick & Prediction 12/19/23

The Aggies and Lumberjacks are set to face off at 7:30 ET on ESPN+. The Lumberjacks will host the game at Johnson Coliseum in Nacogdoches, TX. This non-conference matchup has an over/under of 143.5 points, and the Lumberjacks are favored to win at home vs. the Aggies.

NEW MEXICO STATE AGGIES VS STEPHEN F. AUSTIN LUMBERJACKS BETTING PICK

The Pick: New Mexico State Aggies +10.5

This game will be played at Johnson Coliseum at 7:30 ET on Tuesday, December 19th.

WHY BET THE NEW MEXICO STATE AGGIES:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Lumberjacks.
• Even though we have Stephen F. Austin winning straight-up, we like New Mexico State at +10.5.
• The over/under is currently sitting at 143.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Will the Aggies Come Through as Road Underdogs?

Today, New Mexico State, who are 5-7, will be playing against Stephen F. Austin. In their previous ten road games, New Mexico State is 0-10, including last year. New Mexico State has a subpar ATS performance, sitting below .500 at 2-5. However, in their last five games, the team has gone 2-1 vs. the spread.

New Mexico State comes in with an over/under record of 6-1-0 through 12 games, with their games averaging a combined 154 points per game so far. When analyzing the Aggies’ last five games, they have produced a combined average of 152 points per game and an over/under record of 2-1.

Against New Mexico, the New Mexico State had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 72.2 points per game. They scored 62 points and posted a field goal percentage of 39.6% in the game. Christian Cook is leading the team in scoring at 10.9 points per contest. Robert Carpenter has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 10.6 going into the game.

New Mexico State’s defense is currently in line with the NCAA average for points allowed, allowing an average of 74.2 points per game. New Mexico State’s three-point defense is currently 96th in the country at 6.7 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 43.5% of their shots vs. New Mexico State.

Can the Lumberjacks Please their Home Crowd?

As they prepare for their 11th game of the season, Stephen F. Austin currently holds a 5-5 overall record. The Lumberjacks are 2-2 on the road and 2-2 this year. As Stephen F. Austin prepares to face New Mexico State, their against-the-spread (ATS) record stands at 4-4. Specifically, the Lumberjacks are 2-2 ATS on the road and 2-2 ATS at home.

Looking at their over/under performance through 10 games, Stephen F. Austin has an over/under record of 5-3-0, with their games averaging 147.5 points per game on average. The Lumberjacks’ have recorded an over/under record of 2-1 in their last three games, with their games averaging 135 points per game.

In their previous game, the Lumberjacks’ offense finished with 70 points, which is right in line with their current average of 74.5 points per contest. AJ Cajuste was the leading scorer for the Lumberjacks, putting up 13 points. In addition, Sadaidriene Hall contributed 11 points.

At this time, the Lumberjacks’ defense is positioned 125th in the country, permitting 69.6 points per game. In today’s game vs. New Mexico State, the Stephen F. Austin defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Stephen F. Austin made 25 free-throws vs. the Lumberjacks.