New Mexico State Aggies vs Pepperdine Waves NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 11/29/24
Looking to win big? The Aggies and Waves face off at 3:30 ET on PTB. The Waves are hosting the game at Mullett Arena in Tempe, AZ. New Mexico State is favored by -4.5 in this non-conference contest against Pepperdine. The game’s over/under currently sits at 138 points.
NEW MEXICO STATE AGGIES VS PEPPERDINE WAVES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Pepperdine Waves +4.5
This game will be played at Mullett Arena at 3:30 ET on Friday, November 29th.
WHY BET THE PEPPERDINE WAVES:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-70 in favor of the Waves.
- Not only will Pepperdine pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +4.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 138 points, and we like the over with a projected 147 points.
Will the Aggies Make it Happen on the Road?
New Mexico State Aggies Recent Game/Games
The Aggies fell 72-65 to UNLV on Saturday, November 23rd. Despite being +11.5 point underdogs, New Mexico State kept it closer than expected.
After trailing 37-34 at halftime, the Aggies scored 31 points in the 2nd half but allowed 35. The total points for the game (137) came in just under the O/U line of 141.
New Mexico State struggled offensively in their last game, shooting just 31.2% from the field and 30.8% on two-point attempts. Their effective field goal percentage was 37.5%, and they hit 32% from beyond the arc, making 8 of 25 threes.
Dedan Thomas Jr. led the Aggies with 22 points, despite shooting 4 of 15 overall. Jalen Hill added 16 points and 9 rebounds, while Peter Filipovity grabbed 11 boards. The Aggies pulled down 21 offensive rebounds and finished with just 8 assists as a team.
New Mexico State’s defense gave up 72 points in their last game, but they did a solid job limiting the opposing team’s shooting. They held them to 36% from the field, with 18 made shots out of 50 attempts.
Inside the arc, the Aggies allowed 12 two-point baskets on 32 attempts, a 37% shooting rate. From three-point range, the opposing team hit 6 of 18 shots, shooting 33%. New Mexico State also sent them to the free-throw line 42 times, where they made 30 free throws, a 71% success rate.
Do the Waves Stand a Chance at Home?
The Waves dropped a 72-63 decision to Cal State Fullerton on Tuesday, failing to cover the spread as 6-point favorites. The total points for the game ended just under the O/U line of 136, with a combined 135 points.
Pepperdine led 35-29 at halftime but struggled in the second half, scoring only 28 points while allowing 43. Their inability to maintain their defensive intensity after the break was a key factor in the loss.
Pepperdine struggled offensively in their last game, shooting just 37.7% from the field and 23.1% from beyond the arc, hitting only 6 of 26 three-point attempts. Their effective field goal percentage was 42.6%, and they finished with 63 points, aided by 17 offensive rebounds and 11 assists.
Stefan Todorovic led the team with 16 points and 9 rebounds, while Donovan Oday added 15 points in just 15 minutes, shooting 5 of 8 from the field. Zion Bethea and Kaleb Brown each contributed 13 points, with Brown connecting on 4 of 6 shots.
Pepperdine’s defense held their opponent to 72 points on 37% shooting from the field, with the Waves giving up 17 made two-pointers on 35 attempts, a 48% success rate.
From beyond the arc, Pepperdine limited their opponent to 6 threes on 26 attempts, a 23% shooting performance. They also sent the other team to the line 15 times, where they converted 11 free throws for 73%.