New Mexico State Aggies vs Liberty Flames Betting Pick & Prediction for 10/14

College Football Preview

In Week 8 of the 2025 regular season, the New Mexico State Aggies will visit the Liberty Flames. The game will take place at Williams Stadium in Lynchburg, Virginia. Kickoff is set for Tuesday, October 14, 2025, at 7:00 PM, and it will be broadcast on CBSS.

The Aggies come into the game with a 3-2 record. They have been strong at home, winning all three games there, but have struggled on the road with a 0-2 record. On the other side, the Flames hold a 2-4 record. They have split their home games, winning one and losing one.

New Mexico State Team Preview

The New Mexico State Aggies have had a mixed start to their season. They have won three games, including a recent 37-10 win against Sam Houston Bearkats. However, they also faced tough losses against New Mexico Lobos and Louisiana Tech Bulldogs.

The Aggies’ offense has shown strength in passing, ranking 74th with 1304 passing yards. Logan Fife has been a key player, leading with 1270 passing yards and six touchdowns. On the ground, Kadarius Calloway leads with 158 rushing yards, but the team ranks 138th in rushing yards overall.

Defensively, the Aggies rank 61st in points against, allowing 114 points this season. They have been effective in creating turnovers, with five interceptions and four fumbles recovered. The team faces some challenges with injuries, as several players are questionable, including Dijon Stanley and Tyler Martinez.

New Mexico State vs Liberty Game Day Info

  • Sport: NCAA Football
  • Teams: New Mexico State Aggies vs. Liberty Flames
  • Venue: Williams Stadium (VA) in Lynchburg, VA — Outdoor Field
  • Date: Tuesday, October 14, 2025 at 7:00 PM
  • Betting Odds: New Mexico State +298, Liberty -380, Spread: New Mexico State +10.0 (-112), Liberty -10.0 (-108), Total Over/Under: 46.5

Liberty Team Preview

The Liberty Flames recently played against the UTEP Miners, winning 19-8. In this game, Liberty had 22 first downs and 243 passing yards. They also rushed for 165 yards and did not commit any turnovers.

Earlier in the season, the Flames faced the Old Dominion Monarchs, losing 21-7. Liberty managed 11 first downs and 77 passing yards in that game. Their rushing yards totaled 137, but they had two fumbles and one interception.

In the season game against the James Madison Dukes, the Flames lost 31-13. Liberty recorded 16 first downs and 75 passing yards. They ran for 158 yards without any fumbles or interceptions.

BTB Betting Pick

For the spread pick, take New Mexico State +10.0. Liberty has scored 104 points this season, ranking 87th, while New Mexico State has 111 points, ranking 84th. New Mexico State’s defense is slightly better, allowing 114 points compared to Liberty’s 124, which suggests a closer game than the spread indicates.

For the over/under, go with the under 46.5. Both teams have scored less than 115 points this season, and their defenses are capable of keeping the game low-scoring. The projected score is Liberty 24, New Mexico State 20, totaling 44 points, under the set line.