New Mexico State Aggies vs Dayton Flyers NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 11/20/24

Looking to win big? The Aggies and Flyers face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Flyers are hosting the game at UD Arena in Dayton, OH. The odds for this non-conference game currently have Dayton as the -14.5 favorite, with the over/under line sitting at 142 points.

NEW MEXICO STATE AGGIES VS DAYTON FLYERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: New Mexico State Aggies +14.5

This game will be played at UD Arena at 7:00 ET on Wednesday, November 20th.

WHY BET THE NEW MEXICO STATE AGGIES:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 80-67 in favor of the Flyers.
• Even though we have Dayton winning straight-up, we like New Mexico State at +14.5.
• The over/under is currently sitting at 142 points, and we like the over with a projected 147 points.

Will New Mexico State Shock Everyone at UD Arena?

New Mexico State narrowly edged out Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 83-82 on Thursday. Despite being -4.5 favorites at home, the Aggies didn’t cover the spread. The total points for the game hit 165, surpassing the O/U line of 147.5.

After leading 48-32 at halftime, New Mexico State allowed the Islanders to score 50 points in the 2nd half while only putting up 35 points themselves.

New Mexico State put up 83 points in their last game, shooting 41% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 45.9%. They hit 31.8% from beyond the arc, making 7 of 22 attempts, and connected on 46.2% of their two-point shots. At the free-throw line, the Aggies went 26 for 36, hitting 72.2%.

Isaac Williams led the way with 21 points and 9 assists, shooting 53.8% overall and 66.7% from three. Jaden Walker added 14 points, hitting 71.4% from the field and 66.7% from deep. The Aggies grabbed 15 offensive rebounds and finished with just 9 assists as a team.

New Mexico State’s defense gave up 82 points in their last game, with opponents shooting 41% from the field, hitting 25 of 61 shots. Inside the arc, they allowed 46% shooting, as opponents connected on 18 of 39 two-point attempts.

From three-point range, the Aggies’ defense held their opponents to 31% shooting, with 7 made threes on 22 attempts. However, they sent their opponents to the free-throw line 36 times, where they made 26, shooting 72%. New Mexico State also gave up 15 offensive rebounds.

Will Dayton Pull Through as the Favored Home Team?

Dayton Flyers Recent Game/Games

Dayton picked up a 77-69 win over Ball State on Wednesday, November 13th, at home. The Flyers were -16.5 point favorites going into the game but didn’t cover the spread.

Dayton led 41-26 at halftime but allowed 43 points in the 2nd half while scoring 36. The game’s total points went over the O/U line of 143.5, with a combined score of 146.

Dayton’s offense put up 77 points in their last game, shooting 48.1% from the field. They were particularly effective inside, hitting 62.9% of their two-point attempts, but struggled from beyond the arc, going just 4-for-19 (21.1%).

Malachi Smith was perfect from three, hitting both of his attempts, and finished with 17 points and 10 assists. Jermahri Hill led the Flyers with 25 points, while Enoch Cheeks added 23 points and 12 rebounds, shooting 60% from the field.

Dayton’s defense allowed 69 points, with their opponents shooting 48% from the field. Inside the arc, they gave up 22 two-pointers on 35 attempts, a 62% shooting rate.

From three-point range, Dayton held their opponents to 4/19 shooting, just 21%. They also sent them to the free-throw line 29 times, where they converted 21 attempts, a 72% success rate. Dayton allowed 7 offensive rebounds.