New Mexico Lobos vs Utah State Aggies NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 2/1/25

Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Lobos and Aggies. The game is starting at 9:30 ET on FS1, and it’s hosted by the Aggies at Dee Glen Smith Spectrum in Logan, UT. Get ready to place your bets! This Mountain West conference matchup has an over/under of 159.5 points, and Utah State is favored to win by -4.5 at home vs. New Mexico.
NEW MEXICO LOBOS VS UTAH STATE AGGIES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Utah State Aggies -4.5
This game will be played at Dee Glen Smith Spectrum at 9:30 ET on Saturday, February 1st.
WHY BET THE UTAH STATE AGGIES:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-70 in favor of the Aggies.
- Not only will Utah State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -4.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 159.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 147 points.
Will New Mexico Win on the Road?
New Mexico Lobos Recent Game/Games
New Mexico improved to 16-4 on the season with a 75-73 road win over UNLV on Saturday. The Lobos were -3.5 point favorites going into the game but didn’t cover the spread.
After trailing 39-39 at halftime, New Mexico outscored UNLV 36-34 in the second half to secure the win. The game’s total points of 148 narrowly missed the O/U line of 148.5.
In their last game, the Lobos put up 75 points, shooting 47.5% from the field. They struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 3 of 13 attempts for 23.1%, while their effective field goal percentage stood at 50.8%.
Donovan Dent led the way with 34 points, shooting 61.9% overall and 66.7% from three. Nelly Junior Joseph added 22 points and 18 rebounds, and Dedan Thomas Jr. contributed 18 points and 7 assists.
New Mexico’s defense gave up 73 points in their last game, with the opponent shooting 42% from the field. They allowed 23 made field goals on 54 attempts.
From two-point range, the opponent shot 45%, hitting 15 of 33 shots. From beyond the arc, they went 8/21, good for 38%. New Mexico sent them to the line 29 times, where they made 19 free throws, shooting 65%.
Is A Home Victory Likely for the Favored Aggies?
Utah State improved to 18-2 on the season with a 76-71 win over UNLV on Wednesday. The Aggies were -10.5 point favorites going into the game, but they didn’t cover the spread. The total points for the game were 147, just over the O/U line of 146.5.
At home, Utah State took a 33-24 lead into halftime. While they scored 43 points in the 2nd half, they allowed 47 points, making the game closer than expected.
Utah State put up 76 points in their last game, shooting 48% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 56%. They hit 60% of their two-point attempts and connected on 36% from beyond the arc, going 9-for-25 from three-point range.
Dedan Thomas Jr. led the way with 22 points and 6 assists, shooting 61.5% from the field. Jalen Hill, Deyton Albury, and Jaden Henley each added 16 points, with Albury hitting 66.7% of his shots. Drake Allen was perfect from three, hitting all 3 of his attempts and finishing with 15 points in just 16 minutes.
Utah State’s defense gave up 71 points, with the opposing team shooting 48% from the field. They allowed 15 two-point baskets on 25 attempts, a 60% shooting rate.
From beyond the arc, the Aggies’ defense saw the other team hit 9 of 25 threes, shooting 36%. They also sent them to the line 31 times, where they made 19 free throws, shooting 61%. Utah State gave up 7 offensive rebounds.