New Mexico Lobos vs New Mexico State Aggies Betting Pick & Prediction 12/15/23
This article was published on Dec 15, 2023. Today’s picks College Basketball picks

Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Lobos and Aggies. The game is starting at 9:00 ET on CBSS, and it’s hosted by the Aggies at Pan American Center in Las Cruces, NM. Get ready to place your bets! The Lobos are favored in this non-conference showdown. The game’s over/under is currently at 154 points.
NEW MEXICO LOBOS VS NEW MEXICO STATE AGGIES BETTING PICK
The Pick: New Mexico State Aggies +14.5
This game will be played at Pan American Center at 9:00 ET on Friday, December 15th.
WHY BET THE NEW MEXICO STATE AGGIES:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 73-70 in favor of the Aggies.
- Not only will New Mexico State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +14.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 154 points, and we like the under with a projected 143 points.
Will the Lobos Find a Way to Win on the Road?
Today, New Mexico State will face off against New Mexico in their 11th game this season. So far, New Mexico has a 9-1 record. In their previous ten games on the road, including last year, New Mexico has a 4-6 record. New Mexico has a 7-2 record vs. the spread heading into today’s game. In their previous five games, they are a perfect 5-0 vs. the spread.
After 10 games, New Mexico has an over/under record of 5-4-0, with their games averaging a combined 155.3 points per game so far. Over the course of the last five games, the Lobos’ games have averaged 156 points per game, along with an over/under record of 3-2.
New Mexico is coming off a good offensive performance, putting up 93 points vs. Santa Clara. This figure is more than their season average of 86.1 points per game. Donovan Dent is leading the team in scoring at 17.6 points per contest. JT Toppin has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 12.7 going into the game.
At this time, the Lobos’ defense is positioned 88th in the country, permitting 67.3 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, New Mexico’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 39.7% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 30.5% this season.
Do the Aggies Stand a Chance at Home?
As they prepare for their 12th game of the season, New Mexico State currently holds a 5-6 overall record. In their last five home games, which includes games from last year, New Mexico State has a home record of 4-1. New Mexico State has a sub-.500 ATS record at 2-5. In their last ten games this season, New Mexico State has gone 1-2 vs. the spread.
New Mexico State comes in with an over/under record of 6-1-0 through 11 games, with their games averaging a combined 154 points per game so far. The Aggies’ last five games have finished with a combined 151 points per game and an over/under record of 3-0.
In their latest game, New Mexico State offense put up 62 points against New Mexico. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 39.6% and made 3 threes. In terms of offense, the Aggies have a season-long field goal percentage of 43%, putting them 311st in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 278th in percentage and 254th in three-pointers made.
On the defensive side, New Mexico State is currently hovering around the NCAA’s average for points allowed, conceding an average of 74.4 points per game. New Mexico State’s three-point defense is currently 85th in the country at 6.7 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 43.5% of their shots vs. New Mexico State.
