Navy Midshipmen vs South Florida Bulls Betting Pick & Prediction 11/9/24

ESPN2 will be covering the 12:00 ET kickoff as the Navy Midshipmen head into Raymond James Stadium in Tampa to take on the South Florida Bulls. Navy is favored by -3.5 points on the road, with the over/under line set at 57.5 points. The Midshipmen come in with a 6-2 record, while the Bulls are 4-4 on the season.

NAVY MIDSHIPMEN VS SOUTH FLORIDA BULLS BETTING PICK

The Pick: South Florida Bulls +3.5

This game will be played at Raymond James Stadium at 12:00 ET on Saturday, November 9th.

WHY BET THE SOUTH FLORIDA BULLS:

• We have the Navy Midshipmen winning this one by a score of 33 to 32
• Even though we like the Navy Midshipmen to win, our ATS pick is to take the South Florida Bulls at +3.5
• Look for this game to go over the line of 57.5 points

Will The Navy Midshipmen Win As Road Favorites?

Navy enters Week 11 against South Florida with a 6-2 record, already securing bowl eligibility. They are ranked 73rd in our power rankings and have a 2.3% chance of winning the American Athletic Conference. The Midshipmen are 3-1 at home and 2-1 on the road this season.

Navy’s ATS record stands at 5-2, with an average scoring margin of +12.5 points per game. As the favorite, they are 4-1 against the spread and have gone 2-0 at home in those matchups.

The over/under line for this week is 57.5, the highest they’ve faced this season. Navy’s games have averaged 60.8 points, and their over/under record is 6-1, with an average line of 48.5 points.

Navy’s offense has been impressive this season, ranking 12th in our offensive power rankings and averaging 36.6 points per game, which places them 16th nationally. Their rushing attack is their strength, with 252.2 yards per game on the ground, ranking 6th in the country, and they attempt 44.2 rushes per game.

Quarterback Blake Horvath has thrown for 1,096 yards with 10 touchdowns and 4 interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 110. Eli Heidenreich leads the team in rushing with 231 yards, averaging 6 yards per carry. Nathan Kent has 116 receiving yards and one touchdown.

Defensively, Navy is ranked 37th in the nation, giving up an average of 24.1 points per game. In their recent game against Rice, they allowed 24 points, surrendering 349 total yards, including 239 passing yards. Navy’s defense forced one interception in the game.

Opponents are averaging 223.5 passing yards per game against Navy, completing 57.8% of their passes. On the ground, Navy is giving up 171.9 rushing yards per game, ranking 120th nationally.

Are The South Florida Bulls Going Win In At Upset At Raymond James Stadium

South Florida enters Week 11 against Navy with a 4-4 record, ranked 89th in our CFB power rankings. They have an 86.3% chance of becoming bowl-eligible but no shot at winning the American Athletic Conference. At home, the Bulls are 1-2, while they’ve gone 2-2 on the road this season.

Their average scoring margin is -1.4 points per game, and they are 3-4 against the spread. South Florida is 3-1 ATS on the road but 0-3 at home. As the favorite, they’ve gone 2-1 ATS, and they’ve been favored in three of their eight games.

The Bulls’ over/under record stands at 3-3-1, with their games averaging 56.4 points. This week’s line is set at 57.5 points, slightly below their average over/under line of 58.9 points for the season.

South Florida’s offense is averaging 27.5 points per game heading into week 11, placing them 57th in the nation. They are ranked 97th in our offensive power rankings. Their rushing game has been their strength, with 174.8 yards per game on 37.5 attempts.

Kelley Joiner leads the Bulls’ rushing attack with 453 yards, averaging 6 yards per carry, and has scored seven touchdowns. Quarterback Byrum Brown has thrown for 836 yards and has two touchdowns this season. He has not thrown an interception and has a passer rating of 82.

South Florida’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 28.9 points per game. In their recent game against Florida Atlantic, they gave up 21 points but still managed to secure a 44-21 victory. The Bulls allowed 485 total yards, including 306 passing yards.

Opponents have averaged 293.8 passing yards per game against South Florida, completing 63.3% of their passes. The defense has faced the 107th most passing attempts in the country, while allowing 144.2 rushing yards per game, ranking 75th nationally.