Navy Midshipmen vs Saint Joseph’s Hawks NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 11/4/24

Looking to win big? The Midshipmen and Hawks face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Hawks are hosting the game at Hagan Arena in Philadelphia, PA. The over/under for this game is set at 140.5 points, and Saint Joseph’s is favored by -16.5 against Navy in a non-conference matchup.

NAVY MIDSHIPMEN VS SAINT JOSEPH’S HAWKS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Navy Midshipmen +16.5

This game will be played at Hagan Arena at 7:00 ET on Monday, November 4th.

WHY BET THE NAVY MIDSHIPMEN:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 78-68 in favor of the Hawks.
  • Even though we have Saint Joseph’s winning straight-up, we like Navy at +16.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 140.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 146 points.

Can The Midshipmen Secure a Road Victory?

Navy Midshipmen Records

Last season, Navy finished with a 12-18 overall record, going 9-11 in Patriot League play. At home, they posted a 9-5 mark, while they struggled on the road, going 3-13.

Against the spread, Navy was 13-17, with a 7-9 road ATS record. As underdogs, they went 2-15 straight-up, but they were 7-6 ATS as favorites. Their average over/under line was 133.3 points, and they had a 15-14-1 O/U record, with their games averaging 133.4 points.

Navy Midshipmen Offense Stats

Last season, Navy averaged 66.5 points per game, ranking 285th in possessions per game with 63. The Midshipmen struggled with shooting, finishing 392nd in field goal percentage at 39% and 396th in effective field goal percentage at 44%. They made 5.8 three-pointers per game, shooting 30% from beyond the arc, placing 359th in three-point percentage.

From the free-throw line, Navy averaged 14.4 made free throws per game, ranking 141st. They attempted 19.5 threes per game, ranking 282nd in attempts. Improving their shooting efficiency will be key for the upcoming season.

Navy Midshipmen Top Returning Offensive Players

Austin Benigni: G

  • Games: 31 (Last Year)
  • PPG: 17 (Last Year)
  • Assists: 3.8 (Last Year)
  • Rebounds: 2.9 (Last Year)

Donovan Draper: F

  • Games: 31 (Last Year)
  • PPG: 9.5 (Last Year)
  • Assists: 1.4 (Last Year)
  • Rebounds: 9.1 (Last Year)

Last season, Navy was one of the better defensive teams in the country, allowing just 66.7 points per game, which ranked 46th nationally. Opponents shot 31.9% from three-point range against them, placing Navy 193rd in three-point percentage defense. They also gave up 18.5 free-throw attempts per game, ranking 179th in that category.

The Midshipmen averaged 6.7 steals per game, ranking 162nd nationally, but they struggled in blocked shots, averaging just 2.1 per game, which was 353rd in the country.

Will Saint Joseph’s Make it Happen at Home?

Saint Joseph’s Hawks Records

Saint Joseph’s finished last season with a 21-13 record, going 11-10 in Atlantic 10 play. They were strong at home, posting a 15-3 record with an average scoring margin of +11.5 points per game. On the road, they went 6-10, with an average margin of -2.0 points per game.

The Hawks were 18-16 against the spread (ATS) and 17-4 straight-up when favored. They were favored in 21 games and covered the spread in 12 of those matchups. As underdogs, they had a 4-9 straight-up record and went 6-7 ATS. Their average over/under line was 146.3 points, and they had a 17-16-1 O/U record, with their games averaging 146 points per contest.

Saint Joseph’s averaged 75.6 points per game last season, ranking 300th in possessions per game with 65.9. They shot 44% from the field (208th) but had a 53% effective field goal percentage, placing 97th. The Hawks made 10 three-pointers per game, ranking 13th, and shot 35% from beyond the arc, ranking 95th.

Returning guards Erik Reynolds II and Xzayvier Brown will be key for the Hawks. Reynolds averaged 17 points, 2.6 assists, and 2.7 rebounds per game last season, while Brown contributed 12.6 points, 3.1 assists, and 3.9 rebounds per game.

Last season, Saint Joseph’s allowed 70.4 points per game, ranking 119th in the nation. Opponents shot 32.7% from three-point range against them, which was 251st nationally. They also gave up 17.2 free throws per game, placing them 118th in that category.

In terms of creating turnovers, the Hawks averaged 7 steals per game, ranking 129th in the country. They also averaged 3.8 blocked shots per game, placing them 121st nationally.