Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers vs Marist Red Foxes Betting Pick & Prediction 2/2/24

Planning on watching today’s Mountaineers and Red Foxes game? Catch the action at McCann Center in Poughkeepsie, NY, as the Red Foxes hosts this showdown at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. This Metro Atlantic Athletic conference matchup has an over/under of 129 points, and Marist is favored to win by -2.5 at home vs. Mount St. Mary’s.
MOUNT ST. MARY’S MOUNTAINEERS VS MARIST RED FOXES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Marist Red Foxes -2.5
This game will be played at McCann Center at 7:00 ET on Friday, February 2nd.
WHY BET THE MARIST RED FOXES:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-68 in favor of the Red Foxes.
- Not only will Marist pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -2.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 129 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.
Taking a Look at the Mountaineers Chances on the Road
Mount St. Mary’s heads into their matchup against Marist as 2.5-point underdogs. Over their last 10 games, they have gone 2-8 on the road, and they are 0-5 in their last five road games. So far this season, the Mountaineers have gone 2-10 on the road.
Mount St. Mary’s has lost three games in a row, and they are coming off a 66-62 loss to Rider. This year, they have gone 7-13 overall and 3-6 in Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference play.
Mount St. Mary’s has struggled against the spread this season, going 8-11-1. On the road, their ATS mark is just 4-7-1 and they are 0-3 vs. the spread in their last 3 road games. As the underdog, the Mountaineers are 3-6 vs. the spread this season and they are just 1-4 in their last 5 games as the underdog.
This season, the over/under record for Mount St. Mary’s games is 12-8, and today’s line of 129 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year (138.2). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 141 points, and their OU record in their last 10 games is 6-4.
Compared to their season average of 71.5 points per game, Mount St. Mary’s struggled in their previous game. Against Rider, the Mountaineers scored 62 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 43.6%. On the offensive front, the Mountaineers have a season-long field goal percentage of 46%, ranking 95th nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 338th in terms of percentage and 297th in three-pointers made.
On the defensive side, Mount St. Mary’s is currently hovering around the NCAA’s average for points allowed, conceding an average of 71.3 points per game. The Mount St. Mary’s defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 66 points and allowed Rider to connect on 4 threes.
Is A Home Victory Likely for the Favored Red Foxes?
Marist enters this game with an overall record of 10-8 and a conference record of 5-4. They have been a much better team at home this season, going 5-2 compared to 5-6 on the road. Their average scoring margin at home is +9.9, and they have won their last two games at home. So far, the Red Foxes have been favored in nine of their 18 games, going 7-2 in those contests.
In their most recent game, Marist defeated Canisius by a score of 80-71. Over their last 10 games at home, the Red Foxes have gone 6-4, and they are 3-2 in their last five games at home.
As the favorite this season, Marist has gone 6-3 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Red Foxes have a 7-3 ATS mark. At home this year, Marist is 4-3 ATS and their last 10 home games vs. the spread is 5-5.
Marist’s over/under record for the season is 5-13 and the average scoring total in their games is 127.6 points. Today’s over/under line of 129 is lower than the average OU line in their games this season (132.9). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 126 points and their OU record during that span is 1-2.
Marist is fresh off a strong offensive showing, putting up 80 points versus Canisius. This output is higher than their season-average of 64.9 points per game. Josh Pascarelli was the leading scorer for the Red Foxes, putting up 20 points. In addition, Max Allen contributed 18 points.
At this time, the Red Foxes’ defense is positioned 11th in the country, permitting 62.7 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Marist’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 42.2% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 31.2% this season.