Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers vs Fairfield Stags Betting Pick & Prediction 2/18/24
Looking to win big? The Mountaineers and Stags face off at 2:00 ET on ESPN+. The Stags are hosting the game at Leo D. Mahoney Arena in Fairfield, CT. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 145.5 points, and Fairfield is favored by -4 to win at home against Mount St. Mary’s.
MOUNT ST. MARY’S MOUNTAINEERS VS FAIRFIELD STAGS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Fairfield Stags -4
This game will be played at Leo D. Mahoney Arena at 2:00 ET on Sunday, February 18th.
WHY BET THE FAIRFIELD STAGS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-68 in favor of the Stags.
- Not only will Fairfield pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -4.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 145.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.
Will Mount St. Mary’s Find a Way to Win on the Road?
Mount St. Mary’s has had a tough time on the road this season, going just 4-11 in away games. Over their last ten road games, they have gone 4-6. In their last game, they lost to Rider, 61-57.
On the season, the Mountaineers have been the underdog in 11 of their 25 games and have gone 2-9 in those matchups. For the year, they are 11-14, including a 7-7 record in Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference play.
As the underdog this season, Mount St. Mary’s has gone 5-6 vs. the spread. On the road, their ATS mark is just 5-9-1, including a 1-2 record in their last three away games. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Mountaineers have gone 4-6 vs. the spread.
Today’s over/under line of 145.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Mount St. Mary’s games this season (138.6). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and their games have averaged 150 points during this stretch.
The Mount St. Mary’s offense is coming off a game where they scored 57 points against Rider. They posted a field goal percentage of 37.1% and connected on 4 threes. The team’s top scorer is Dakota Leffew, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 17.9, while Deshayne Montgomery also maintains a PPG average of 10.8 leading up to the game.
Coming into today’s game, the Mount St. Mary’s defense is giving up an average of 70.5 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Mount St. Mary’s’ defense has allowed opponents to shoot 42.6% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 33.1% this season.
Can The Stags Secure a Home Victory?
With a record of 15-10, Fairfield has gone 9-5 in Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference play compared to 6-5 in non-conference games. The Stags have been a favorite in 14 of their 25 games, going 10-4 in those contests.
At home, Fairfield is 6-4 this season with an average scoring margin of +5.6 points per game. Over their last 10 games at home, the Stags have gone 6-4.
As the favorite this season, Fairfield has gone 6-8 vs. the spread. At home, the Stags have an ATS mark of 4-6. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, Fairfield has gone 4-6 vs. the spread.
Today’s over/under line of 145.5 is similar to the average over/under line in Fairfield’s games this season (143.9). Their over/under record this year is 16-8. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 134 points, and their OU record over their last 10 games is 6-4.
The Fairfield offense, in their latest game, managed to score just 63 points versus Niagara. During the game, they attempted 19 three-point shots and had a field goal percentage of 36.4%. In terms of three-point shooting, the Stags offense has been good from outside, hitting 36% of their three-pointers on an average of 24.4 attempts per game. Their overall field goal percentage is currently 45%.
Coming into today’s game, the Fairfield defense is giving up an average of 70.9 points per contest. Against Niagara in their most recent game, the Fairfield defense gave up a total of 65 points while allowing Niagara to hit 36% of their shots.